← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
25.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.7
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1University of California at San Diego1.45+2.01vs Predicted
-
2California State University Channel Islands-0.97+6.77vs Predicted
-
3California Poly Maritime Academy2.08-0.90vs Predicted
-
4University of California at Berkeley-0.24+2.87vs Predicted
-
5University of California at Berkeley0.50-0.02vs Predicted
-
6University of California at San Diego-0.60+2.01vs Predicted
-
7University of California at San Diego-1.21+2.36vs Predicted
-
8University of California at Davis0.13-2.22vs Predicted
-
9Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.88-0.29vs Predicted
-
10San Diego State University-0.46-2.46vs Predicted
-
11University of California at Irvine-0.36-3.73vs Predicted
-
12University of California at Irvine-1.59-1.38vs Predicted
-
13University of California at Davis-1.76-2.07vs Predicted
-
14California State University Channel Islands-1.81-2.97vs Predicted
-
15California State University Channel Islands-1.81-3.97vs Predicted
-
16California State University Channel Islands-0.97-7.23vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
3.01University of California at San Diego1.450.2%1st Place
-
8.77California State University Channel Islands-0.970.0%1st Place
-
2.1California Poly Maritime Academy2.080.4%1st Place
-
6.87University of California at Berkeley-0.240.0%1st Place
-
4.98University of California at Berkeley0.500.1%1st Place
-
8.01University of California at San Diego-0.600.0%1st Place
-
9.36University of California at San Diego-1.210.0%1st Place
-
5.78University of California at Davis0.130.1%1st Place
-
8.71Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.880.0%1st Place
-
7.54San Diego State University-0.460.0%1st Place
-
7.27University of California at Irvine-0.360.0%1st Place
-
10.62University of California at Irvine-1.590.0%1st Place
-
10.93University of California at Davis-1.760.0%1st Place
-
11.03California State University Channel Islands-1.810.0%1st Place
-
11.03California State University Channel Islands-1.810.0%1st Place
-
8.77California State University Channel Islands-0.970.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nicholas Dorn | 21.8% | 28.3% | 17.2% | 12.1% | 10.1% | 5.6% | 2.4% | 1.5% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kevin Gates | 1.7% | 2.6% | 3.5% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 9.0% | 8.3% | 8.8% | 10.7% | 11.5% | 10.5% | 9.1% | 5.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jacob Fisker-Andersen | 43.5% | 25.2% | 17.5% | 7.6% | 4.0% | 1.8% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Luc LaMontagne | 2.9% | 5.6% | 8.3% | 8.4% | 10.0% | 11.7% | 10.2% | 11.3% | 9.6% | 8.2% | 6.2% | 3.8% | 2.8% | 1.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Augustus Doricko | 8.1% | 9.7% | 14.0% | 16.7% | 12.6% | 11.9% | 8.8% | 7.3% | 4.8% | 3.8% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Marie-Laure Golier | 2.6% | 4.4% | 3.8% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 10.8% | 9.7% | 10.0% | 9.5% | 10.2% | 9.4% | 8.2% | 6.0% | 3.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Warren Ko | 2.2% | 1.2% | 3.1% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 9.3% | 10.1% | 10.1% | 13.6% | 11.8% | 9.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jayden Potter | 6.3% | 8.1% | 11.9% | 10.2% | 14.0% | 10.3% | 10.4% | 9.1% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 4.4% | 1.9% | 1.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Matt Elliott | 2.6% | 2.8% | 3.5% | 3.7% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 8.2% | 9.2% | 10.5% | 11.3% | 11.8% | 9.6% | 8.7% | 4.8% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Adam Wild | 2.7% | 3.5% | 5.4% | 8.3% | 9.1% | 8.8% | 11.9% | 10.6% | 9.3% | 9.2% | 9.0% | 6.6% | 3.3% | 2.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Trevor Tuck | 3.4% | 4.5% | 6.2% | 8.3% | 8.9% | 10.7% | 10.5% | 10.1% | 10.7% | 9.2% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 4.0% | 1.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Alexander Myers | 0.5% | 1.6% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 11.8% | 15.1% | 14.8% | 20.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Grace Chitouras | 1.2% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 2.4% | 2.2% | 3.9% | 3.7% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 7.2% | 10.7% | 11.5% | 17.4% | 26.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Olivia Feito | 0.5% | 1.3% | 2.0% | 2.7% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 4.1% | 5.0% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 7.8% | 12.1% | 20.8% | 25.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Olivia Feito | 0.5% | 1.3% | 2.0% | 2.7% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 4.1% | 5.0% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 7.8% | 12.1% | 20.8% | 25.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kevin Gates | 1.7% | 2.6% | 3.5% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 9.0% | 8.3% | 8.8% | 10.7% | 11.5% | 10.5% | 9.1% | 5.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.