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📊 Prediction Accuracy
56.2%
Within 2 Positions
2.3
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1California Poly Maritime Academy2.08+1.13vs Predicted
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2University of California at Berkeley0.50+2.79vs Predicted
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3University of California at Berkeley-0.24+3.85vs Predicted
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4University of California at Davis0.13+1.88vs Predicted
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5University of California at San Diego1.45-1.88vs Predicted
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6University of California at Irvine-0.36+1.29vs Predicted
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7Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.88+1.40vs Predicted
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8California State University Channel Islands-0.97+0.87vs Predicted
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9University of California at San Diego-0.60-1.13vs Predicted
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10University of California at San Diego-1.21-0.27vs Predicted
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11San Diego State University-0.46-3.49vs Predicted
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12California State University Channel Islands-1.81-0.87vs Predicted
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13University of California at Irvine-1.59-2.52vs Predicted
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14University of California at Davis-1.76-3.06vs Predicted
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15California State University Channel Islands-1.81-3.87vs Predicted
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16California State University Channel Islands-0.97-7.13vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.13California Poly Maritime Academy2.080.4%1st Place
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4.79University of California at Berkeley0.500.1%1st Place
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6.85University of California at Berkeley-0.240.0%1st Place
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5.88University of California at Davis0.130.0%1st Place
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3.12University of California at San Diego1.450.2%1st Place
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7.29University of California at Irvine-0.360.0%1st Place
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8.4Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.880.0%1st Place
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8.87California State University Channel Islands-0.970.0%1st Place
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7.87University of California at San Diego-0.600.0%1st Place
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9.73University of California at San Diego-1.210.0%1st Place
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7.51San Diego State University-0.460.0%1st Place
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11.13California State University Channel Islands-1.810.0%1st Place
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10.48University of California at Irvine-1.590.0%1st Place
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10.94University of California at Davis-1.760.0%1st Place
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11.13California State University Channel Islands-1.810.0%1st Place
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8.87California State University Channel Islands-0.970.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jacob Fisker-Andersen | 43.9% | 25.2% | 16.1% | 8.2% | 4.5% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Augustus Doricko | 8.0% | 12.7% | 15.0% | 14.5% | 13.6% | 12.0% | 9.1% | 5.8% | 4.3% | 2.7% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Luc LaMontagne | 4.4% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 9.5% | 9.3% | 9.8% | 11.6% | 9.2% | 10.2% | 9.4% | 6.7% | 4.0% | 2.3% | 0.9% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jayden Potter | 4.6% | 7.7% | 10.7% | 11.8% | 12.5% | 13.2% | 11.1% | 9.0% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 3.7% | 1.8% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Nicholas Dorn | 19.8% | 25.3% | 19.5% | 14.9% | 9.5% | 5.1% | 3.5% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Trevor Tuck | 3.7% | 3.9% | 6.1% | 7.5% | 10.4% | 10.7% | 10.5% | 9.0% | 9.8% | 9.9% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 3.6% | 1.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Matt Elliott | 1.7% | 3.9% | 4.1% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 8.2% | 9.3% | 9.8% | 9.2% | 11.4% | 10.0% | 7.5% | 4.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kevin Gates | 2.4% | 2.8% | 3.7% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 6.9% | 8.1% | 8.3% | 9.1% | 9.9% | 11.3% | 11.3% | 9.9% | 6.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Marie-Laure Golier | 3.3% | 3.6% | 4.1% | 5.8% | 8.3% | 7.4% | 10.6% | 11.5% | 10.9% | 11.7% | 8.8% | 6.7% | 5.2% | 2.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Warren Ko | 1.8% | 1.6% | 2.6% | 2.2% | 4.0% | 6.0% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 8.3% | 10.4% | 10.8% | 13.5% | 12.5% | 11.8% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Adam Wild | 3.6% | 3.3% | 5.7% | 7.1% | 9.2% | 10.9% | 7.8% | 12.2% | 11.2% | 8.8% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 5.2% | 1.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Olivia Feito | 0.9% | 0.8% | 2.0% | 1.5% | 2.4% | 3.1% | 3.7% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 6.6% | 10.6% | 13.0% | 17.4% | 28.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Alexander Myers | 1.3% | 1.9% | 1.6% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 6.6% | 8.8% | 13.0% | 12.1% | 16.5% | 19.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Grace Chitouras | 0.6% | 1.2% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 3.3% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 8.2% | 13.6% | 18.7% | 24.9% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Olivia Feito | 0.9% | 0.8% | 2.0% | 1.5% | 2.4% | 3.1% | 3.7% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 6.6% | 10.6% | 13.0% | 17.4% | 28.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kevin Gates | 2.4% | 2.8% | 3.7% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 6.9% | 8.1% | 8.3% | 9.1% | 9.9% | 11.3% | 11.3% | 9.9% | 6.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.