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📊 Prediction Accuracy
37.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.8
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1California State University Channel Islands-0.97+7.62vs Predicted
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2California Poly Maritime Academy2.08+0.03vs Predicted
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3University of California at Davis0.13+2.60vs Predicted
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4University of California at Berkeley-0.24+2.65vs Predicted
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5University of California at San Diego1.45-1.98vs Predicted
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6University of California at Davis-1.03+2.95vs Predicted
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7University of California at Berkeley0.50-2.45vs Predicted
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8California State University Channel Islands-0.97+0.62vs Predicted
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9University of California at Irvine-0.36-2.10vs Predicted
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10San Diego State University-0.87-1.52vs Predicted
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11University of California at San Diego-1.35-1.16vs Predicted
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12California State University Channel Islands-1.81-0.97vs Predicted
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13Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.35-3.23vs Predicted
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14University of California at Irvine-1.59-3.71vs Predicted
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15University of California at San Diego-1.21-5.73vs Predicted
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16California State University Channel Islands-1.81-4.97vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.62California State University Channel Islands-0.970.0%1st Place
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2.03California Poly Maritime Academy2.080.5%1st Place
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5.6University of California at Davis0.130.1%1st Place
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6.65University of California at Berkeley-0.240.0%1st Place
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3.02University of California at San Diego1.450.2%1st Place
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8.95University of California at Davis-1.030.0%1st Place
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4.55University of California at Berkeley0.500.1%1st Place
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8.62California State University Channel Islands-0.970.0%1st Place
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6.9University of California at Irvine-0.360.0%1st Place
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8.48San Diego State University-0.870.0%1st Place
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9.84University of California at San Diego-1.350.0%1st Place
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11.03California State University Channel Islands-1.810.0%1st Place
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9.77Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.350.0%1st Place
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10.29University of California at Irvine-1.590.0%1st Place
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9.27University of California at San Diego-1.210.0%1st Place
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11.03California State University Channel Islands-1.810.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kevin Gates | 1.7% | 2.6% | 3.5% | 5.8% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 8.5% | 10.0% | 9.5% | 10.4% | 10.2% | 8.6% | 8.8% | 5.9% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jacob Fisker-Andersen | 45.1% | 27.5% | 14.5% | 8.0% | 3.0% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jayden Potter | 5.2% | 9.4% | 10.6% | 12.6% | 13.4% | 12.3% | 11.6% | 9.0% | 6.7% | 4.2% | 3.1% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Luc LaMontagne | 3.5% | 5.5% | 8.6% | 9.0% | 10.5% | 13.1% | 10.4% | 9.7% | 10.6% | 7.8% | 4.9% | 3.3% | 2.6% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Nicholas Dorn | 19.9% | 25.5% | 21.8% | 14.2% | 9.3% | 5.9% | 1.8% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Sarah Puts | 1.5% | 2.4% | 3.3% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 8.2% | 10.1% | 10.3% | 10.0% | 11.6% | 9.6% | 9.5% | 7.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Augustus Doricko | 10.0% | 11.6% | 15.3% | 16.5% | 13.4% | 12.7% | 7.9% | 6.7% | 3.3% | 1.3% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kevin Gates | 1.7% | 2.6% | 3.5% | 5.8% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 8.5% | 10.0% | 9.5% | 10.4% | 10.2% | 8.6% | 8.8% | 5.9% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Trevor Tuck | 4.4% | 4.5% | 7.1% | 9.9% | 9.6% | 11.7% | 11.8% | 9.0% | 8.2% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 5.0% | 2.9% | 1.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Charlotte Hinman | 2.6% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 5.2% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 9.0% | 10.7% | 10.5% | 11.3% | 9.5% | 10.4% | 6.8% | 4.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Alexander Bittner | 1.4% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 5.2% | 8.0% | 7.6% | 9.1% | 9.6% | 9.8% | 13.2% | 12.7% | 13.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Olivia Feito | 0.5% | 1.7% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 2.7% | 3.0% | 3.8% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 7.8% | 9.9% | 11.6% | 17.6% | 27.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Sebastien Danthinne | 1.2% | 1.4% | 2.8% | 3.4% | 4.9% | 3.8% | 6.7% | 8.3% | 10.0% | 9.0% | 11.0% | 11.5% | 12.5% | 13.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Alexander Myers | 1.6% | 1.0% | 2.3% | 2.6% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 9.4% | 10.4% | 11.7% | 15.8% | 18.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Warren Ko | 1.4% | 1.8% | 3.1% | 3.7% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 8.0% | 11.8% | 11.5% | 13.6% | 10.1% | 8.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Olivia Feito | 0.5% | 1.7% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 2.7% | 3.0% | 3.8% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 7.8% | 9.9% | 11.6% | 17.6% | 27.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.