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📊 Prediction Accuracy
37.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.7
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1California Poly Maritime Academy2.08+1.11vs Predicted
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2University of California at San Diego1.45+0.87vs Predicted
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3University of California at Berkeley0.50+1.72vs Predicted
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4California State University Channel Islands-0.97+4.72vs Predicted
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5University of California at Irvine-0.36+2.08vs Predicted
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6University of California at Davis-1.03+2.94vs Predicted
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7University of California at Davis0.13-1.53vs Predicted
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8University of California at Irvine-1.59+2.25vs Predicted
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9University of California at Berkeley-0.24-2.35vs Predicted
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10University of California at San Diego-1.35-0.16vs Predicted
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11Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.35-1.19vs Predicted
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12San Diego State University-0.87-3.59vs Predicted
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13University of California at San Diego-1.21-3.72vs Predicted
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14California State University Channel Islands-0.97-5.28vs Predicted
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15California State University Channel Islands-1.81-4.15vs Predicted
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16California State University Channel Islands-1.81-5.15vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.11California Poly Maritime Academy2.080.4%1st Place
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2.87University of California at San Diego1.450.2%1st Place
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4.72University of California at Berkeley0.500.1%1st Place
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8.72California State University Channel Islands-0.970.0%1st Place
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7.08University of California at Irvine-0.360.0%1st Place
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8.94University of California at Davis-1.030.0%1st Place
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5.47University of California at Davis0.130.1%1st Place
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10.25University of California at Irvine-1.590.0%1st Place
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6.65University of California at Berkeley-0.240.0%1st Place
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9.84University of California at San Diego-1.350.0%1st Place
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9.81Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.350.0%1st Place
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8.41San Diego State University-0.870.0%1st Place
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9.28University of California at San Diego-1.210.0%1st Place
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8.72California State University Channel Islands-0.970.0%1st Place
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10.85California State University Channel Islands-1.810.0%1st Place
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10.85California State University Channel Islands-1.810.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jacob Fisker-Andersen | 43.3% | 26.6% | 15.6% | 8.5% | 3.8% | 1.5% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Nicholas Dorn | 23.4% | 26.3% | 21.0% | 13.3% | 7.6% | 4.8% | 1.9% | 1.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Augustus Doricko | 8.6% | 11.5% | 15.7% | 14.2% | 15.2% | 11.7% | 8.4% | 6.9% | 4.0% | 2.1% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kevin Gates | 1.2% | 2.2% | 4.2% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 11.2% | 8.8% | 11.8% | 11.0% | 10.3% | 7.9% | 5.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Trevor Tuck | 2.9% | 5.3% | 6.9% | 7.7% | 10.6% | 11.9% | 9.2% | 10.2% | 11.0% | 8.1% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 2.1% | 1.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Sarah Puts | 1.5% | 2.4% | 3.2% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 9.0% | 7.4% | 11.3% | 9.5% | 10.9% | 10.0% | 9.8% | 7.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jayden Potter | 6.5% | 9.6% | 10.1% | 14.5% | 12.3% | 12.6% | 10.8% | 7.9% | 7.4% | 4.0% | 2.2% | 1.4% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Alexander Myers | 1.2% | 1.7% | 2.3% | 2.9% | 4.8% | 3.9% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 7.4% | 8.3% | 10.3% | 11.8% | 14.4% | 20.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Luc LaMontagne | 4.1% | 4.5% | 8.0% | 9.2% | 10.8% | 12.7% | 13.2% | 9.7% | 8.3% | 8.2% | 5.1% | 3.3% | 2.1% | 0.8% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Alexander Bittner | 1.5% | 1.6% | 2.3% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 9.7% | 12.4% | 11.5% | 13.6% | 13.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Sebastien Danthinne | 1.4% | 1.9% | 2.3% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 8.4% | 10.7% | 11.5% | 11.6% | 12.7% | 13.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Charlotte Hinman | 2.0% | 2.7% | 3.9% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 8.1% | 12.2% | 8.6% | 9.0% | 12.5% | 9.4% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 4.9% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Warren Ko | 2.0% | 2.3% | 3.1% | 3.7% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 9.7% | 9.8% | 8.4% | 10.9% | 12.4% | 12.0% | 8.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kevin Gates | 1.2% | 2.2% | 4.2% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 11.2% | 8.8% | 11.8% | 11.0% | 10.3% | 7.9% | 5.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Olivia Feito | 0.4% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 3.1% | 3.9% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 8.1% | 13.9% | 17.0% | 25.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Olivia Feito | 0.4% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 3.1% | 3.9% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 8.1% | 13.9% | 17.0% | 25.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.