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📊 Prediction Accuracy
23.5%
Within 2 Positions
3.6
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Jacksonville University3.43+3.49vs Predicted
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2College of Charleston3.12+3.49vs Predicted
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3University of Wisconsin2.24+5.86vs Predicted
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4North Carolina State University2.54+3.74vs Predicted
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5Clemson University2.14+4.12vs Predicted
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6Northwestern University1.93+4.22vs Predicted
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7U. S. Naval Academy2.50+0.84vs Predicted
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8U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.13+1.05vs Predicted
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9University of South Carolina1.25+3.71vs Predicted
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10Georgetown University2.25-1.29vs Predicted
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11Georgetown University2.93-4.58vs Predicted
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12University of California at Berkeley1.48-0.27vs Predicted
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13University of Miami2.22-3.88vs Predicted
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14Florida State University1.69-2.87vs Predicted
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15Eckerd College2.17-5.87vs Predicted
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16College of Charleston2.64-8.59vs Predicted
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17University of Virginia0.82-3.16vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.49Jacksonville University3.430.2%1st Place
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5.49College of Charleston3.120.1%1st Place
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8.86University of Wisconsin2.240.0%1st Place
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7.74North Carolina State University2.540.1%1st Place
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9.12Clemson University2.140.0%1st Place
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10.22Northwestern University1.930.0%1st Place
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7.84U. S. Naval Academy2.500.1%1st Place
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9.05U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.130.1%1st Place
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12.71University of South Carolina1.250.0%1st Place
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8.71Georgetown University2.250.0%1st Place
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6.42Georgetown University2.930.1%1st Place
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11.73University of California at Berkeley1.480.0%1st Place
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9.12University of Miami2.220.1%1st Place
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11.13Florida State University1.690.0%1st Place
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9.13Eckerd College2.170.1%1st Place
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7.41College of Charleston2.640.1%1st Place
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13.84University of Virginia0.820.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alfonso Garcia Bringas | 18.3% | 15.6% | 12.5% | 11.3% | 8.5% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 3.5% | 1.7% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Frederick Martens | 11.9% | 13.8% | 9.7% | 9.7% | 9.5% | 10.6% | 7.8% | 6.7% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Charlie Kutschenreuter | 4.3% | 4.7% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 5.4% | 7.2% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 8.0% | 5.7% | 4.2% | 2.2% |
| Scott Harris | 7.3% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 8.5% | 7.1% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 3.0% | 2.0% | 0.9% |
| TJ Danilek | 4.0% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 7.7% | 7.7% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 3.2% |
| Ryder Easterlin | 3.6% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 8.3% | 8.4% | 8.8% | 8.5% | 4.9% |
| Nicholas Gartner | 6.9% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 8.3% | 8.3% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 8.8% | 7.7% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 3.2% | 4.2% | 2.5% | 0.6% |
| Richie Gordon | 5.1% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 7.1% | 5.4% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 5.4% | 2.2% |
| Mackey Leventis | 1.0% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 2.3% | 2.8% | 2.5% | 4.9% | 2.7% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 6.4% | 8.3% | 12.4% | 15.3% | 20.3% |
| Marley Mais | 4.6% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 8.1% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 3.9% | 1.8% |
| Andrew Person | 11.2% | 9.0% | 9.1% | 8.2% | 8.7% | 8.5% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 8.0% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 2.8% | 2.4% | 1.3% | 0.7% | 0.2% |
| Elizabeth Hansen | 2.4% | 2.0% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 3.1% | 2.7% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 9.6% | 10.5% | 15.5% | 12.3% |
| Robert Turigliatto | 5.1% | 5.3% | 4.4% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 8.3% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 5.7% | 4.0% | 3.2% |
| Jeffrey Hayden | 2.3% | 3.2% | 2.6% | 4.2% | 3.5% | 4.1% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 8.6% | 8.2% | 11.4% | 11.4% | 8.2% |
| Connor Ratcliff | 5.1% | 4.7% | 6.5% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 7.4% | 5.4% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 4.6% | 2.4% |
| Marian Frances Williams | 6.2% | 6.1% | 8.7% | 8.0% | 9.0% | 7.3% | 7.7% | 7.3% | 8.5% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 3.8% | 2.4% | 1.8% | 0.6% |
| Katie Purcell | 0.7% | 0.8% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 1.3% | 2.0% | 2.2% | 2.7% | 3.0% | 2.3% | 3.8% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 7.1% | 8.2% | 15.0% | 37.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.