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📊 Prediction Accuracy
17.6%
Within 2 Positions
4.4
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1College of Charleston2.64+6.13vs Predicted
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2Georgetown University2.25+6.77vs Predicted
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3U. S. Naval Academy2.50+4.83vs Predicted
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4Clemson University2.14+5.32vs Predicted
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5U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.13+4.10vs Predicted
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6University of California at Berkeley1.48+5.92vs Predicted
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7North Carolina State University2.54+0.68vs Predicted
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8Northwestern University1.93+1.83vs Predicted
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9Florida State University1.69+2.19vs Predicted
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10College of Charleston3.12-4.45vs Predicted
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11Georgetown University2.93-4.63vs Predicted
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12University of Wisconsin2.24-3.16vs Predicted
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13University of South Carolina1.25-0.34vs Predicted
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14University of Miami2.22-4.92vs Predicted
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15Eckerd College2.17-5.92vs Predicted
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16University of Virginia0.82-2.10vs Predicted
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17Jacksonville University3.43-12.23vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.13College of Charleston2.640.1%1st Place
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8.77Georgetown University2.250.1%1st Place
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7.83U. S. Naval Academy2.500.1%1st Place
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9.32Clemson University2.140.0%1st Place
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9.1U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.130.0%1st Place
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11.92University of California at Berkeley1.480.0%1st Place
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7.68North Carolina State University2.540.1%1st Place
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9.83Northwestern University1.930.0%1st Place
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11.19Florida State University1.690.0%1st Place
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5.55College of Charleston3.120.1%1st Place
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6.37Georgetown University2.930.1%1st Place
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8.84University of Wisconsin2.240.1%1st Place
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12.66University of South Carolina1.250.0%1st Place
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9.08University of Miami2.220.0%1st Place
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9.08Eckerd College2.170.0%1st Place
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13.9University of Virginia0.820.0%1st Place
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4.77Jacksonville University3.430.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Marian Frances Williams | 8.8% | 8.6% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 7.7% | 8.1% | 7.6% | 8.0% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 5.2% | 4.4% | 2.8% | 3.1% | 1.5% | 0.4% |
| Marley Mais | 5.3% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 4.8% | 7.9% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 6.0% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 4.4% | 1.2% |
| Nicholas Gartner | 6.0% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 4.9% | 3.2% | 2.1% | 1.2% |
| TJ Danilek | 4.7% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 7.5% | 5.2% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 8.1% | 8.1% | 4.6% | 6.8% | 2.8% |
| Richie Gordon | 3.7% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 8.2% | 7.7% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 4.9% | 3.7% |
| Elizabeth Hansen | 2.7% | 1.4% | 2.3% | 3.1% | 1.9% | 2.9% | 5.1% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 8.3% | 12.6% | 13.3% | 13.3% |
| Scott Harris | 6.6% | 6.2% | 7.8% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 8.0% | 7.9% | 7.6% | 7.9% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 4.1% | 2.4% | 2.4% | 0.4% |
| Ryder Easterlin | 4.2% | 3.4% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 6.8% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 7.7% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 9.2% | 7.6% | 4.2% |
| Jeffrey Hayden | 2.3% | 1.5% | 4.2% | 3.4% | 2.8% | 3.9% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 8.3% | 10.5% | 9.1% | 11.2% | 8.8% |
| Frederick Martens | 11.5% | 12.2% | 11.7% | 11.2% | 9.6% | 7.8% | 6.6% | 8.3% | 6.2% | 4.4% | 3.7% | 2.4% | 1.7% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.3% |
| Andrew Person | 11.3% | 8.3% | 8.5% | 9.7% | 9.6% | 7.2% | 7.7% | 6.5% | 8.3% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 3.7% | 3.0% | 2.5% | 1.6% | 0.4% | 0.2% |
| Charlie Kutschenreuter | 5.5% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 7.4% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 6.0% | 4.7% | 2.1% |
| Mackey Leventis | 1.4% | 2.9% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 2.3% | 2.4% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 8.8% | 10.9% | 15.6% | 20.6% |
| Robert Turigliatto | 4.3% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 4.9% | 9.0% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 4.2% | 2.6% |
| Connor Ratcliff | 4.8% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 7.9% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 8.2% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 4.2% | 3.1% |
| Katie Purcell | 1.3% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.9% | 2.3% | 2.2% | 3.0% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 3.2% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 10.2% | 16.3% | 35.1% |
| Alfonso Garcia Bringas | 15.6% | 16.1% | 12.5% | 10.9% | 9.5% | 7.9% | 7.5% | 5.1% | 4.4% | 3.3% | 3.1% | 1.8% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.