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📊 Prediction Accuracy
35.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.3
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1U. S. Naval Academy2.50+6.59vs Predicted
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2Clemson University2.14+7.22vs Predicted
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3University of Wisconsin2.24+5.82vs Predicted
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4College of Charleston3.12+1.66vs Predicted
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5North Carolina State University2.54+2.58vs Predicted
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6Georgetown University2.93+0.45vs Predicted
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7College of Charleston2.64+0.31vs Predicted
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8Florida State University1.69+2.78vs Predicted
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9U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.13+0.45vs Predicted
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10Jacksonville University3.43-5.38vs Predicted
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11Northwestern University1.93-0.75vs Predicted
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12University of Miami2.22-3.09vs Predicted
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13Eckerd College2.17-3.77vs Predicted
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14Georgetown University2.25-5.00vs Predicted
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15University of Virginia0.82-1.25vs Predicted
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16University of California at Berkeley1.48-4.19vs Predicted
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17University of South Carolina1.25-4.42vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.59U. S. Naval Academy2.500.1%1st Place
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9.22Clemson University2.140.1%1st Place
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8.82University of Wisconsin2.240.1%1st Place
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5.66College of Charleston3.120.1%1st Place
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7.58North Carolina State University2.540.1%1st Place
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6.45Georgetown University2.930.1%1st Place
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7.31College of Charleston2.640.1%1st Place
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10.78Florida State University1.690.0%1st Place
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9.45U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.130.0%1st Place
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4.62Jacksonville University3.430.2%1st Place
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10.25Northwestern University1.930.0%1st Place
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8.91University of Miami2.220.1%1st Place
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9.23Eckerd College2.170.0%1st Place
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9.0Georgetown University2.250.0%1st Place
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13.75University of Virginia0.820.0%1st Place
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11.81University of California at Berkeley1.480.0%1st Place
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12.58University of South Carolina1.250.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nicholas Gartner | 7.6% | 7.4% | 8.2% | 5.5% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 5.6% | 4.7% | 3.2% | 1.9% | 0.2% |
| TJ Danilek | 5.0% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 8.7% | 8.4% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 5.1% | 2.6% |
| Charlie Kutschenreuter | 5.9% | 4.5% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 8.0% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 8.0% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 2.7% | 2.4% |
| Frederick Martens | 11.3% | 12.8% | 10.1% | 10.9% | 9.3% | 8.0% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 6.3% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 1.7% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Scott Harris | 6.8% | 8.5% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 8.5% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 3.2% | 3.1% | 0.9% |
| Andrew Person | 9.0% | 8.9% | 9.7% | 9.9% | 8.9% | 8.4% | 8.0% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 1.7% | 1.3% | 0.4% | 0.6% |
| Marian Frances Williams | 8.2% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 8.1% | 8.1% | 9.3% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 3.4% | 2.7% | 1.2% | 0.4% |
| Jeffrey Hayden | 3.8% | 2.9% | 3.3% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 3.4% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 8.1% | 7.7% | 9.4% | 10.9% | 9.0% |
| Richie Gordon | 3.5% | 4.6% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 5.9% | 7.9% | 8.8% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 2.4% |
| Alfonso Garcia Bringas | 16.4% | 14.5% | 14.6% | 13.0% | 7.3% | 8.3% | 8.0% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 3.4% | 1.8% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Ryder Easterlin | 3.8% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 3.7% | 5.3% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 9.6% | 10.8% | 7.2% | 5.8% |
| Robert Turigliatto | 5.0% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 6.4% | 8.2% | 7.4% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 1.6% |
| Connor Ratcliff | 4.9% | 5.4% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 7.5% | 7.7% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 3.4% |
| Marley Mais | 4.6% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 8.2% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 8.0% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 1.8% |
| Katie Purcell | 0.8% | 2.0% | 1.6% | 1.3% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 9.2% | 16.0% | 36.1% |
| Elizabeth Hansen | 2.2% | 1.4% | 2.3% | 2.4% | 3.3% | 3.6% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 7.1% | 8.3% | 8.8% | 11.2% | 12.6% | 12.6% |
| Mackey Leventis | 1.2% | 1.5% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 2.8% | 3.7% | 2.8% | 2.6% | 4.8% | 7.1% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 7.6% | 11.3% | 16.4% | 20.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.