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📊 Prediction Accuracy
23.5%
Within 2 Positions
3.4
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Jacksonville University3.43+3.52vs Predicted
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2University of Wisconsin2.24+6.85vs Predicted
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3U. S. Naval Academy2.50+4.88vs Predicted
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4College of Charleston2.64+3.38vs Predicted
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5Georgetown University2.25+3.72vs Predicted
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6University of Miami2.22+3.21vs Predicted
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7Georgetown University2.93-0.74vs Predicted
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8Florida State University1.69+2.82vs Predicted
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9Clemson University2.14+0.46vs Predicted
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10College of Charleston3.12-4.47vs Predicted
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11Eckerd College2.17-1.63vs Predicted
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12University of California at Berkeley1.66-0.86vs Predicted
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13U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.13-3.56vs Predicted
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14North Carolina State University2.54-6.18vs Predicted
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15Northwestern University1.93-4.91vs Predicted
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16University of Virginia0.82-2.09vs Predicted
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17University of South Carolina1.25-4.41vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.52Jacksonville University3.430.2%1st Place
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8.85University of Wisconsin2.240.1%1st Place
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7.88U. S. Naval Academy2.500.1%1st Place
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7.38College of Charleston2.640.1%1st Place
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8.72Georgetown University2.250.0%1st Place
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9.21University of Miami2.220.0%1st Place
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6.26Georgetown University2.930.1%1st Place
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10.82Florida State University1.690.0%1st Place
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9.46Clemson University2.140.0%1st Place
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5.53College of Charleston3.120.1%1st Place
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9.37Eckerd College2.170.0%1st Place
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11.14University of California at Berkeley1.660.0%1st Place
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9.44U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.130.0%1st Place
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7.82North Carolina State University2.540.1%1st Place
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10.09Northwestern University1.930.0%1st Place
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13.91University of Virginia0.820.0%1st Place
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12.59University of South Carolina1.250.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alfonso Garcia Bringas | 18.9% | 14.0% | 12.7% | 12.1% | 8.6% | 7.7% | 7.9% | 5.7% | 4.3% | 3.4% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Charlie Kutschenreuter | 5.0% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 6.7% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 1.5% |
| Nicholas Gartner | 6.3% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 8.5% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 8.0% | 5.2% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 2.9% | 2.6% | 1.1% |
| Marian Frances Williams | 7.6% | 8.2% | 8.1% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 8.0% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 7.7% | 6.1% | 4.2% | 3.4% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 0.4% |
| Marley Mais | 4.4% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 8.0% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 2.2% |
| Robert Turigliatto | 4.5% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 9.0% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 5.7% | 7.4% | 4.2% | 3.0% |
| Andrew Person | 9.5% | 9.6% | 9.0% | 9.0% | 9.5% | 10.0% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 3.3% | 3.3% | 2.7% | 2.4% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Jeffrey Hayden | 3.4% | 3.3% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 9.9% | 9.4% | 9.8% | 9.7% |
| TJ Danilek | 3.5% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 4.4% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 7.2% | 6.1% | 8.2% | 5.9% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 8.7% | 6.2% | 2.2% |
| Frederick Martens | 12.6% | 11.1% | 11.7% | 11.7% | 8.6% | 8.3% | 7.2% | 8.4% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 3.6% | 2.3% | 1.7% | 1.4% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Connor Ratcliff | 4.8% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 4.4% | 6.1% | 4.8% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 8.5% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 5.4% | 2.5% |
| Drake Hayes | 2.7% | 2.8% | 2.8% | 3.6% | 4.3% | 4.1% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 6.5% | 7.9% | 9.4% | 10.0% | 11.8% | 9.9% |
| Richie Gordon | 4.3% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 5.6% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 8.7% | 6.4% | 5.2% | 7.7% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 3.8% |
| Scott Harris | 5.9% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 7.7% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 8.3% | 7.7% | 7.7% | 5.5% | 3.9% | 4.1% | 1.8% | 0.6% |
| Ryder Easterlin | 3.8% | 3.9% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 6.9% | 7.9% | 8.3% | 8.2% | 8.8% | 7.9% | 5.2% |
| Katie Purcell | 1.4% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 1.5% | 2.2% | 2.0% | 2.0% | 3.2% | 3.2% | 4.2% | 3.6% | 5.1% | 7.6% | 9.7% | 14.6% | 37.0% |
| Mackey Leventis | 1.4% | 1.6% | 2.3% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 3.4% | 2.4% | 3.1% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 7.3% | 10.2% | 16.9% | 20.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.