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📊 Prediction Accuracy
41.2%
Within 2 Positions
3.1
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Jacksonville University3.43+3.54vs Predicted
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2Georgetown University2.25+6.78vs Predicted
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3North Carolina State University2.54+4.77vs Predicted
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4College of Charleston2.64+3.43vs Predicted
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5Eckerd College2.17+4.05vs Predicted
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6University of Wisconsin2.24+3.11vs Predicted
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7Georgetown University2.93-0.75vs Predicted
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8U. S. Naval Academy2.50-0.27vs Predicted
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9U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.13+0.51vs Predicted
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10Clemson University2.14-0.88vs Predicted
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11Florida State University1.69+0.13vs Predicted
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12Northwestern University1.93-1.95vs Predicted
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13University of California at Berkeley1.66-1.75vs Predicted
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14University of Miami2.22-4.89vs Predicted
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15College of Charleston3.12-9.35vs Predicted
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16University of South Carolina1.25-3.39vs Predicted
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17University of Virginia0.82-3.09vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.54Jacksonville University3.430.2%1st Place
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8.78Georgetown University2.250.1%1st Place
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7.77North Carolina State University2.540.1%1st Place
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7.43College of Charleston2.640.1%1st Place
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9.05Eckerd College2.170.0%1st Place
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9.11University of Wisconsin2.240.0%1st Place
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6.25Georgetown University2.930.1%1st Place
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7.73U. S. Naval Academy2.500.1%1st Place
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9.51U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.130.0%1st Place
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9.12Clemson University2.140.0%1st Place
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11.13Florida State University1.690.0%1st Place
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10.05Northwestern University1.930.0%1st Place
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11.25University of California at Berkeley1.660.0%1st Place
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9.11University of Miami2.220.0%1st Place
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5.65College of Charleston3.120.1%1st Place
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12.61University of South Carolina1.250.0%1st Place
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13.91University of Virginia0.820.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alfonso Garcia Bringas | 19.3% | 13.1% | 12.3% | 13.0% | 8.6% | 9.3% | 6.3% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 3.9% | 1.6% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Marley Mais | 5.0% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 6.9% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 7.9% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 4.6% | 1.2% |
| Scott Harris | 5.9% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 9.0% | 8.5% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 3.1% | 2.2% | 1.2% |
| Marian Frances Williams | 8.3% | 7.0% | 8.0% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 4.7% | 3.2% | 3.3% | 1.7% | 0.8% |
| Connor Ratcliff | 3.6% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 2.9% |
| Charlie Kutschenreuter | 4.8% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 8.3% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 5.5% | 4.6% | 2.7% |
| Andrew Person | 8.9% | 10.5% | 8.7% | 10.5% | 9.1% | 8.9% | 7.0% | 8.9% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 4.1% | 3.1% | 3.2% | 1.8% | 1.3% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| Nicholas Gartner | 6.6% | 7.7% | 7.3% | 8.0% | 7.9% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 5.6% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 2.4% | 0.8% |
| Richie Gordon | 4.1% | 3.6% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 8.0% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 7.9% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 2.9% |
| TJ Danilek | 4.1% | 4.0% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 7.8% | 5.6% | 7.6% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 6.1% | 4.7% | 2.9% |
| Jeffrey Hayden | 3.1% | 3.7% | 2.7% | 3.0% | 4.1% | 3.4% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 11.5% | 13.7% | 8.2% |
| Ryder Easterlin | 3.8% | 3.5% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 8.3% | 7.6% | 8.8% | 7.5% | 5.7% |
| Drake Hayes | 2.8% | 3.8% | 2.8% | 2.2% | 3.2% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 4.6% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 7.7% | 5.7% | 7.4% | 9.9% | 10.9% | 9.1% | 11.3% |
| Robert Turigliatto | 4.1% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 7.7% | 6.9% | 7.9% | 7.1% | 4.6% | 1.9% |
| Frederick Martens | 13.2% | 12.4% | 10.6% | 8.4% | 8.7% | 6.6% | 9.6% | 8.2% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 3.3% | 2.7% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Mackey Leventis | 1.5% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 3.2% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 8.0% | 9.8% | 9.0% | 17.5% | 18.3% |
| Katie Purcell | 0.9% | 0.6% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 2.0% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 3.1% | 2.1% | 2.3% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 7.2% | 8.9% | 13.8% | 39.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.