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📊 Prediction Accuracy
35.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.9
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1College of Charleston2.64+6.27vs Predicted
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2Jacksonville University3.43+2.59vs Predicted
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3Georgetown University2.25+6.01vs Predicted
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4U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.13+5.52vs Predicted
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5University of Miami2.22+3.92vs Predicted
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6North Carolina State University2.54+1.98vs Predicted
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7U. S. Naval Academy2.50+1.05vs Predicted
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8Clemson University2.14+1.22vs Predicted
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9University of California at Berkeley1.48+3.15vs Predicted
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10Florida State University1.69+1.06vs Predicted
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11Northwestern University1.93-0.64vs Predicted
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12University of South Carolina1.25+0.69vs Predicted
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13Eckerd College2.17-3.57vs Predicted
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14University of Wisconsin2.24-4.88vs Predicted
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15College of Charleston3.12-9.29vs Predicted
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16Georgetown University2.93-9.58vs Predicted
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17University of Virginia1.63-5.50vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.27College of Charleston2.640.1%1st Place
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4.59Jacksonville University3.430.2%1st Place
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9.01Georgetown University2.250.0%1st Place
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9.52U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.130.0%1st Place
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8.92University of Miami2.220.0%1st Place
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7.98North Carolina State University2.540.1%1st Place
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8.05U. S. Naval Academy2.500.1%1st Place
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9.22Clemson University2.140.0%1st Place
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12.15University of California at Berkeley1.480.0%1st Place
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11.06Florida State University1.690.0%1st Place
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10.36Northwestern University1.930.0%1st Place
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12.69University of South Carolina1.250.0%1st Place
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9.43Eckerd College2.170.1%1st Place
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9.12University of Wisconsin2.240.0%1st Place
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5.71College of Charleston3.120.1%1st Place
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6.42Georgetown University2.930.1%1st Place
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11.5University of Virginia1.630.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Marian Frances Williams | 8.7% | 7.9% | 7.5% | 8.3% | 8.2% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 2.9% | 1.9% | 0.3% |
| Alfonso Garcia Bringas | 17.5% | 14.6% | 14.2% | 10.0% | 9.9% | 9.3% | 6.7% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 2.8% | 2.7% | 1.8% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Marley Mais | 4.9% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 7.2% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 5.6% | 7.9% | 5.0% | 3.0% |
| Richie Gordon | 4.9% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 5.6% | 4.4% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 7.8% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 7.9% | 7.7% | 7.5% | 4.4% | 5.2% |
| Robert Turigliatto | 4.7% | 6.6% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 8.1% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 3.3% |
| Scott Harris | 6.1% | 5.8% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 8.0% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 4.7% | 3.8% | 2.8% | 1.5% |
| Nicholas Gartner | 6.7% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 7.9% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 5.1% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 2.7% | 1.2% |
| TJ Danilek | 4.9% | 4.6% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 3.6% | 4.8% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 6.1% | 4.1% |
| Elizabeth Hansen | 1.7% | 2.0% | 2.7% | 2.7% | 1.7% | 3.9% | 3.2% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 11.2% | 12.1% | 18.5% |
| Jeffrey Hayden | 2.2% | 2.7% | 3.2% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 9.2% | 8.0% | 11.0% | 10.2% |
| Ryder Easterlin | 4.2% | 3.9% | 4.6% | 3.7% | 3.1% | 4.3% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 8.7% | 7.3% | 8.1% | 11.1% | 6.1% |
| Mackey Leventis | 1.7% | 2.0% | 1.5% | 3.3% | 2.7% | 2.1% | 3.2% | 4.4% | 2.7% | 3.8% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 9.1% | 8.7% | 12.6% | 26.8% |
| Connor Ratcliff | 5.2% | 4.6% | 4.1% | 3.3% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 5.6% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 7.7% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 4.6% |
| Charlie Kutschenreuter | 4.1% | 6.0% | 4.8% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 8.2% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 6.6% | 4.9% | 2.4% |
| Frederick Martens | 13.4% | 12.6% | 8.7% | 10.2% | 7.3% | 8.1% | 8.5% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 2.6% | 1.6% | 1.4% | 1.3% | 0.5% | 0.2% |
| Andrew Person | 7.4% | 9.0% | 11.7% | 10.0% | 8.9% | 8.2% | 8.4% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 3.6% | 2.8% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.5% |
| Alexander Singh | 1.7% | 2.3% | 3.1% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 3.7% | 3.7% | 3.7% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 8.2% | 7.7% | 10.7% | 13.0% | 12.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.