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📊 Prediction Accuracy
29.4%
Within 2 Positions
3.7
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1U. S. Naval Academy2.50+6.78vs Predicted
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2Jacksonville University3.43+2.61vs Predicted
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3Eckerd College2.17+6.33vs Predicted
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4University of Miami2.22+5.20vs Predicted
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5U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.13+4.22vs Predicted
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6College of Charleston3.12-0.12vs Predicted
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7Florida State University1.69+4.17vs Predicted
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8College of Charleston2.64-0.69vs Predicted
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9Clemson University2.14+0.60vs Predicted
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10Georgetown University2.93-3.66vs Predicted
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11University of South Carolina1.25+1.78vs Predicted
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12University of Wisconsin2.24-2.97vs Predicted
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13University of California at Berkeley1.48-0.92vs Predicted
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14North Carolina State University2.54-6.05vs Predicted
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15Georgetown University2.25-6.04vs Predicted
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16University of Virginia1.63-4.50vs Predicted
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17Northwestern University1.93-6.73vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.78U. S. Naval Academy2.500.1%1st Place
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4.61Jacksonville University3.430.2%1st Place
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9.33Eckerd College2.170.0%1st Place
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9.2University of Miami2.220.1%1st Place
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9.22U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.130.0%1st Place
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5.88College of Charleston3.120.1%1st Place
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11.17Florida State University1.690.0%1st Place
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7.31College of Charleston2.640.1%1st Place
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9.6Clemson University2.140.0%1st Place
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6.34Georgetown University2.930.1%1st Place
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12.78University of South Carolina1.250.0%1st Place
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9.03University of Wisconsin2.240.0%1st Place
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12.08University of California at Berkeley1.480.0%1st Place
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7.95North Carolina State University2.540.1%1st Place
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8.96Georgetown University2.250.1%1st Place
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11.5University of Virginia1.630.0%1st Place
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10.27Northwestern University1.930.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nicholas Gartner | 7.0% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 6.0% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 5.3% | 4.0% | 5.2% | 1.9% | 1.1% |
| Alfonso Garcia Bringas | 16.7% | 15.3% | 12.9% | 10.6% | 11.2% | 6.8% | 8.8% | 5.2% | 4.1% | 3.6% | 1.6% | 1.3% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Connor Ratcliff | 4.7% | 4.1% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 6.9% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 3.8% |
| Robert Turigliatto | 5.5% | 5.2% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 4.7% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 4.3% |
| Richie Gordon | 3.8% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 3.9% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 7.8% | 5.5% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 4.8% |
| Frederick Martens | 10.6% | 11.3% | 9.6% | 11.5% | 7.9% | 9.7% | 8.6% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 3.1% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Jeffrey Hayden | 2.8% | 2.3% | 4.6% | 2.5% | 3.7% | 3.8% | 5.4% | 3.2% | 4.1% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 8.6% | 7.5% | 10.0% | 9.7% | 11.1% | 9.6% |
| Marian Frances Williams | 9.1% | 7.3% | 8.9% | 7.9% | 6.5% | 5.0% | 8.1% | 8.1% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 3.7% | 3.0% | 2.5% | 0.7% |
| TJ Danilek | 3.3% | 4.6% | 3.6% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 8.7% | 4.7% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 4.2% |
| Andrew Person | 10.2% | 9.4% | 8.9% | 9.2% | 10.1% | 8.9% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 6.0% | 4.8% | 3.9% | 2.4% | 2.0% | 1.9% | 0.9% | 0.4% |
| Mackey Leventis | 2.3% | 1.3% | 2.0% | 2.1% | 3.3% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 2.4% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 8.4% | 9.7% | 12.1% | 27.6% |
| Charlie Kutschenreuter | 4.6% | 5.9% | 4.5% | 7.1% | 5.0% | 6.6% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 7.9% | 5.4% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 3.1% |
| Elizabeth Hansen | 2.4% | 2.9% | 1.9% | 3.3% | 2.1% | 2.9% | 2.6% | 3.9% | 4.1% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 7.4% | 6.4% | 7.9% | 11.7% | 13.5% | 16.8% |
| Scott Harris | 6.3% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 7.9% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 8.6% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 4.3% | 2.4% | 0.8% |
| Marley Mais | 5.0% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 7.9% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 8.0% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 4.1% | 3.3% |
| Alexander Singh | 2.6% | 1.4% | 3.3% | 2.6% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 4.4% | 4.0% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 8.8% | 7.0% | 9.1% | 12.8% | 12.7% |
| Ryder Easterlin | 3.1% | 3.6% | 3.7% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 7.4% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 8.8% | 7.8% | 8.7% | 8.7% | 6.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.