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📊 Prediction Accuracy
46.7%
Within 2 Positions
2.8
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Georgetown University2.93+4.85vs Predicted
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2Eckerd College2.17+6.40vs Predicted
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3Jacksonville University3.43+1.34vs Predicted
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4College of Charleston2.64+2.84vs Predicted
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5University of Miami2.22+3.40vs Predicted
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6College of Charleston3.12-0.77vs Predicted
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7Georgetown University2.25+1.19vs Predicted
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8U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.13+0.68vs Predicted
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9University of Wisconsin2.24-0.79vs Predicted
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10Northwestern University1.93-0.55vs Predicted
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11Florida State University1.69-0.77vs Predicted
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12U. S. Naval Academy2.50-4.42vs Predicted
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13Clemson University2.14-4.07vs Predicted
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14North Carolina State University2.54-6.83vs Predicted
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15University of Virginia0.82-2.51vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.85Georgetown University2.930.1%1st Place
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8.4Eckerd College2.170.0%1st Place
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4.34Jacksonville University3.430.2%1st Place
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6.84College of Charleston2.640.1%1st Place
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8.4University of Miami2.220.1%1st Place
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5.23College of Charleston3.120.1%1st Place
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8.19Georgetown University2.250.1%1st Place
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8.68U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.130.0%1st Place
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8.21University of Wisconsin2.240.0%1st Place
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9.45Northwestern University1.930.0%1st Place
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10.23Florida State University1.690.0%1st Place
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7.58U. S. Naval Academy2.500.1%1st Place
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8.93Clemson University2.140.0%1st Place
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7.17North Carolina State University2.540.1%1st Place
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12.49University of Virginia0.820.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Andrew Person | 11.6% | 10.7% | 10.2% | 10.5% | 9.5% | 6.3% | 9.3% | 8.0% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 3.7% | 3.0% | 1.3% | 1.0% |
| Connor Ratcliff | 4.2% | 4.7% | 6.9% | 5.2% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 8.0% | 6.9% | 8.5% | 9.3% | 8.1% | 7.9% | 3.2% |
| Alfonso Garcia Bringas | 17.3% | 16.5% | 12.9% | 12.1% | 10.2% | 8.8% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 4.1% | 2.5% | 2.2% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Marian Frances Williams | 8.0% | 8.9% | 8.6% | 8.2% | 8.1% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 8.0% | 7.5% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 4.1% | 3.8% | 1.3% |
| Robert Turigliatto | 5.3% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 7.3% | 9.2% | 9.1% | 7.3% | 8.4% | 6.8% | 4.8% |
| Frederick Martens | 12.6% | 12.7% | 11.3% | 10.3% | 10.2% | 9.6% | 8.7% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 4.7% | 2.7% | 2.1% | 1.3% | 0.9% | 0.0% |
| Marley Mais | 6.5% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 8.3% | 8.1% | 7.6% | 8.2% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 3.7% |
| Richie Gordon | 4.8% | 5.3% | 4.3% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 7.5% | 8.2% | 6.8% | 8.1% | 9.5% | 8.1% | 9.4% | 4.6% |
| Charlie Kutschenreuter | 4.6% | 4.8% | 7.0% | 4.7% | 7.0% | 8.2% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 8.5% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 7.7% | 7.9% | 2.6% |
| Ryder Easterlin | 3.6% | 3.4% | 3.2% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 8.7% | 9.4% | 10.7% | 11.4% | 7.7% |
| Jeffrey Hayden | 3.0% | 2.5% | 3.2% | 5.0% | 3.7% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 8.8% | 10.7% | 13.7% | 15.3% |
| Nicholas Gartner | 6.3% | 5.7% | 7.6% | 7.7% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 8.0% | 6.3% | 9.4% | 7.7% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 5.0% | 1.5% |
| TJ Danilek | 3.8% | 5.4% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 7.2% | 8.4% | 8.2% | 8.8% | 10.8% | 7.9% | 6.3% |
| Scott Harris | 7.2% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 8.4% | 7.2% | 8.7% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 8.2% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 3.7% | 1.1% |
| Katie Purcell | 1.2% | 1.3% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 2.6% | 1.5% | 2.7% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 3.8% | 4.9% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 12.8% | 46.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.