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📊 Prediction Accuracy
46.7%
Within 2 Positions
3.2
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.13+7.49vs Predicted
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2College of Charleston2.64+4.73vs Predicted
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3Northwestern University1.93+6.23vs Predicted
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4Jacksonville University3.43+0.43vs Predicted
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5University of Miami2.22+3.41vs Predicted
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6North Carolina State University2.54+1.24vs Predicted
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7College of Charleston3.12-1.69vs Predicted
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8Georgetown University2.25+0.28vs Predicted
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9University of Wisconsin2.24-0.76vs Predicted
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10Florida State University1.69+0.25vs Predicted
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11Eckerd College2.17-2.45vs Predicted
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12U. S. Naval Academy2.50-4.44vs Predicted
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13Clemson University2.14-4.12vs Predicted
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14University of Virginia0.82-1.42vs Predicted
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15Georgetown University2.93-9.17vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.49U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.130.1%1st Place
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6.73College of Charleston2.640.1%1st Place
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9.23Northwestern University1.930.0%1st Place
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4.43Jacksonville University3.430.2%1st Place
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8.41University of Miami2.220.1%1st Place
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7.24North Carolina State University2.540.1%1st Place
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5.31College of Charleston3.120.1%1st Place
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8.28Georgetown University2.250.1%1st Place
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8.24University of Wisconsin2.240.0%1st Place
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10.25Florida State University1.690.0%1st Place
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8.55Eckerd College2.170.0%1st Place
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7.56U. S. Naval Academy2.500.1%1st Place
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8.88Clemson University2.140.0%1st Place
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12.58University of Virginia0.820.0%1st Place
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5.83Georgetown University2.930.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Richie Gordon | 5.4% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 8.0% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 8.8% | 7.9% | 8.3% | 5.6% |
| Marian Frances Williams | 6.9% | 9.8% | 8.1% | 9.3% | 8.5% | 7.6% | 8.4% | 7.7% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 2.1% | 1.4% |
| Ryder Easterlin | 3.7% | 3.8% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 6.6% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 8.0% | 8.0% | 8.5% | 11.3% | 10.7% | 7.0% |
| Alfonso Garcia Bringas | 17.2% | 16.5% | 14.0% | 10.4% | 9.7% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 6.1% | 3.5% | 2.8% | 2.5% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Robert Turigliatto | 5.9% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 9.6% | 9.2% | 8.4% | 8.3% | 6.5% | 4.8% |
| Scott Harris | 7.3% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 6.5% | 8.2% | 8.5% | 8.5% | 8.9% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 3.8% | 1.1% |
| Frederick Martens | 13.4% | 10.3% | 13.1% | 11.0% | 10.0% | 8.8% | 8.5% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 4.3% | 3.6% | 2.8% | 2.1% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| Marley Mais | 5.4% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 8.3% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 6.4% | 9.8% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 4.2% |
| Charlie Kutschenreuter | 4.6% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 7.6% | 6.3% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 8.6% | 7.3% | 8.3% | 8.4% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 3.2% |
| Jeffrey Hayden | 3.0% | 2.5% | 3.2% | 2.9% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 8.6% | 8.0% | 11.2% | 16.1% | 12.5% |
| Connor Ratcliff | 4.5% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 7.4% | 7.7% | 8.7% | 5.7% | 7.4% | 8.4% | 9.8% | 5.0% |
| Nicholas Gartner | 6.1% | 5.4% | 6.7% | 8.1% | 8.1% | 7.8% | 7.7% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 8.3% | 8.0% | 7.1% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 1.5% |
| TJ Danilek | 4.1% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 9.2% | 8.9% | 10.2% | 8.5% | 5.5% |
| Katie Purcell | 1.2% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.0% | 1.2% | 2.6% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 7.5% | 12.5% | 47.4% |
| Andrew Person | 11.3% | 12.2% | 9.1% | 9.7% | 8.7% | 8.7% | 7.3% | 8.1% | 7.5% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 3.8% | 2.3% | 1.2% | 0.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.