← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
46.7%
Within 2 Positions
3.0
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1College of Charleston3.12+4.28vs Predicted
-
2College of Charleston2.64+4.75vs Predicted
-
3University of Miami2.22+5.27vs Predicted
-
4U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.13+4.66vs Predicted
-
5Georgetown University2.93+0.98vs Predicted
-
6Jacksonville University3.43-1.63vs Predicted
-
7U. S. Naval Academy2.50+0.29vs Predicted
-
8Northwestern University1.93+1.36vs Predicted
-
9Clemson University2.14-0.43vs Predicted
-
10Florida State University1.69+0.23vs Predicted
-
11Georgetown University2.25-2.71vs Predicted
-
12University of Virginia0.82+0.80vs Predicted
-
13Eckerd College2.17-4.20vs Predicted
-
14North Carolina State University2.54-6.86vs Predicted
-
15University of Wisconsin2.24-6.79vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
5.28College of Charleston3.120.1%1st Place
-
6.75College of Charleston2.640.1%1st Place
-
8.27University of Miami2.220.1%1st Place
-
8.66U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.130.0%1st Place
-
5.98Georgetown University2.930.1%1st Place
-
4.37Jacksonville University3.430.2%1st Place
-
7.29U. S. Naval Academy2.500.1%1st Place
-
9.36Northwestern University1.930.0%1st Place
-
8.57Clemson University2.140.0%1st Place
-
10.23Florida State University1.690.0%1st Place
-
8.29Georgetown University2.250.0%1st Place
-
12.8University of Virginia0.820.0%1st Place
-
8.8Eckerd College2.170.0%1st Place
-
7.14North Carolina State University2.540.1%1st Place
-
8.21University of Wisconsin2.240.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Frederick Martens | 12.5% | 13.9% | 12.0% | 10.8% | 9.7% | 6.2% | 8.7% | 7.2% | 5.5% | 4.6% | 3.6% | 2.3% | 1.3% | 1.2% | 0.5% |
| Marian Frances Williams | 7.3% | 9.3% | 9.4% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 9.6% | 7.4% | 8.8% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 3.5% | 0.5% |
| Robert Turigliatto | 5.1% | 5.1% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 8.0% | 7.7% | 7.8% | 9.3% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 4.0% |
| Richie Gordon | 4.3% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 4.7% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 8.5% | 8.0% | 9.0% | 9.0% | 4.8% |
| Andrew Person | 10.0% | 11.3% | 9.1% | 8.7% | 8.8% | 9.8% | 8.3% | 8.9% | 7.1% | 5.8% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 2.8% | 1.3% | 0.5% |
| Alfonso Garcia Bringas | 18.0% | 14.4% | 13.1% | 12.8% | 11.0% | 7.9% | 7.8% | 5.3% | 3.3% | 2.3% | 2.2% | 1.3% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Nicholas Gartner | 8.0% | 5.9% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 9.7% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 7.9% | 6.5% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 4.4% | 1.5% |
| Ryder Easterlin | 4.5% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 8.2% | 7.3% | 9.5% | 11.1% | 10.8% | 7.9% |
| TJ Danilek | 4.3% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 7.2% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 7.6% | 8.0% | 9.0% | 7.7% | 9.2% | 8.3% | 7.4% | 4.0% |
| Jeffrey Hayden | 2.7% | 2.4% | 3.1% | 3.7% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 7.9% | 9.2% | 12.4% | 14.1% | 12.7% |
| Marley Mais | 4.7% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 7.7% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 7.8% | 6.7% | 8.2% | 7.4% | 8.1% | 7.2% | 5.1% |
| Katie Purcell | 1.5% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 2.0% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 3.4% | 4.8% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 14.7% | 48.8% |
| Connor Ratcliff | 4.5% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 8.6% | 8.8% | 9.6% | 9.5% | 7.6% | 5.3% |
| Scott Harris | 7.8% | 6.4% | 7.8% | 9.3% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 7.9% | 8.0% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 4.1% | 1.5% |
| Charlie Kutschenreuter | 4.8% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 4.8% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 9.8% | 8.3% | 7.1% | 7.9% | 2.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.