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📊 Prediction Accuracy
40.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.9
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Jacksonville University3.43+3.38vs Predicted
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2College of Charleston3.12+3.18vs Predicted
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3Florida State University1.69+7.01vs Predicted
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4Eckerd College2.17+4.49vs Predicted
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5Clemson University2.14+3.67vs Predicted
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6Georgetown University2.93-0.10vs Predicted
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7College of Charleston2.64-0.10vs Predicted
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8Georgetown University2.25+0.29vs Predicted
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9University of Miami2.22-0.69vs Predicted
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10U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.13-1.25vs Predicted
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11U. S. Naval Academy2.50-3.59vs Predicted
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12Northwestern University1.93-2.36vs Predicted
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13University of Virginia0.82-0.35vs Predicted
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14University of Wisconsin2.24-5.75vs Predicted
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15North Carolina State University2.54-7.83vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.38Jacksonville University3.430.2%1st Place
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5.18College of Charleston3.120.1%1st Place
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10.01Florida State University1.690.0%1st Place
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8.49Eckerd College2.170.0%1st Place
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8.67Clemson University2.140.1%1st Place
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5.9Georgetown University2.930.1%1st Place
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6.9College of Charleston2.640.1%1st Place
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8.29Georgetown University2.250.1%1st Place
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8.31University of Miami2.220.1%1st Place
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8.75U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.130.0%1st Place
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7.41U. S. Naval Academy2.500.1%1st Place
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9.64Northwestern University1.930.0%1st Place
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12.65University of Virginia0.820.0%1st Place
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8.25University of Wisconsin2.240.1%1st Place
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7.17North Carolina State University2.540.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alfonso Garcia Bringas | 17.5% | 18.4% | 12.3% | 12.5% | 8.0% | 8.0% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 3.4% | 2.2% | 2.7% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Frederick Martens | 12.8% | 14.2% | 11.4% | 10.5% | 10.1% | 9.5% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 3.6% | 3.2% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Jeffrey Hayden | 3.4% | 3.1% | 3.8% | 4.1% | 3.8% | 4.1% | 5.5% | 4.6% | 6.0% | 7.5% | 8.0% | 7.4% | 12.6% | 16.2% | 9.9% |
| Connor Ratcliff | 4.2% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 9.6% | 6.7% | 8.0% | 9.1% | 7.6% | 4.6% |
| TJ Danilek | 5.2% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 7.9% | 9.6% | 8.0% | 8.5% | 8.8% | 5.7% |
| Andrew Person | 9.7% | 10.5% | 9.4% | 10.1% | 9.5% | 9.4% | 9.7% | 8.5% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 4.6% | 3.7% | 1.7% | 1.4% | 0.3% |
| Marian Frances Williams | 9.1% | 5.7% | 8.9% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 9.1% | 8.6% | 8.5% | 7.9% | 6.8% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 3.4% | 1.1% |
| Marley Mais | 5.6% | 4.8% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 7.7% | 8.0% | 7.5% | 8.6% | 9.2% | 7.8% | 6.3% | 3.8% |
| Robert Turigliatto | 5.2% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 8.0% | 9.2% | 6.7% | 7.9% | 8.7% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 3.7% |
| Richie Gordon | 3.9% | 4.0% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 4.9% | 6.4% | 8.5% | 7.6% | 6.2% | 9.6% | 8.7% | 9.6% | 8.0% | 4.8% |
| Nicholas Gartner | 7.1% | 6.2% | 8.2% | 7.5% | 8.1% | 8.1% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 4.4% | 6.0% | 2.7% |
| Ryder Easterlin | 3.4% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 3.7% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 7.2% | 7.9% | 8.3% | 9.5% | 11.7% | 10.1% | 9.2% |
| Katie Purcell | 0.7% | 1.3% | 1.7% | 1.5% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 1.9% | 2.9% | 4.0% | 3.7% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 14.1% | 48.8% |
| Charlie Kutschenreuter | 5.0% | 4.7% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 8.3% | 8.2% | 8.7% | 7.5% | 7.9% | 6.3% | 4.1% |
| Scott Harris | 7.2% | 8.7% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 8.1% | 7.1% | 8.1% | 8.6% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 5.1% | 3.7% | 1.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.