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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
2.9
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Jacksonville University3.43+3.34vs Predicted
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2Georgetown University2.93+3.72vs Predicted
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3College of Charleston3.12+2.20vs Predicted
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4Eckerd College2.17+4.49vs Predicted
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5North Carolina State University2.54+2.32vs Predicted
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6Clemson University2.14+2.67vs Predicted
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7Georgetown University2.25+1.19vs Predicted
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8Northwestern University1.93+1.39vs Predicted
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9University of Miami2.22-0.70vs Predicted
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10Florida State University1.69+0.24vs Predicted
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11College of Charleston2.64-4.10vs Predicted
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12University of Wisconsin2.24-3.50vs Predicted
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13U. S. Naval Academy2.50-5.39vs Predicted
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14University of Virginia0.82-1.46vs Predicted
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15U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.13-6.39vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.34Jacksonville University3.430.2%1st Place
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5.72Georgetown University2.930.1%1st Place
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5.2College of Charleston3.120.1%1st Place
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8.49Eckerd College2.170.0%1st Place
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7.32North Carolina State University2.540.1%1st Place
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8.67Clemson University2.140.0%1st Place
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8.19Georgetown University2.250.1%1st Place
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9.39Northwestern University1.930.0%1st Place
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8.3University of Miami2.220.0%1st Place
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10.24Florida State University1.690.0%1st Place
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6.9College of Charleston2.640.1%1st Place
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8.5University of Wisconsin2.240.0%1st Place
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7.61U. S. Naval Academy2.500.1%1st Place
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12.54University of Virginia0.820.0%1st Place
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8.61U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.130.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alfonso Garcia Bringas | 18.7% | 15.8% | 14.3% | 11.1% | 9.5% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 2.4% | 1.3% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Andrew Person | 10.9% | 13.2% | 9.6% | 9.7% | 9.4% | 9.4% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 6.0% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 4.0% | 2.3% | 1.2% | 0.4% |
| Frederick Martens | 13.0% | 11.0% | 13.7% | 9.4% | 10.4% | 9.6% | 7.2% | 8.9% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 2.9% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| Connor Ratcliff | 3.9% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 7.9% | 8.2% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 8.8% | 7.8% | 4.8% |
| Scott Harris | 7.2% | 7.8% | 6.6% | 7.9% | 5.8% | 8.4% | 7.3% | 9.0% | 7.2% | 8.3% | 7.2% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 4.4% | 2.2% |
| TJ Danilek | 4.2% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 4.2% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 8.6% | 8.0% | 6.8% | 9.9% | 8.8% | 7.2% | 8.3% | 5.1% |
| Marley Mais | 6.3% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 9.1% | 6.0% | 8.3% | 7.2% | 8.9% | 6.9% | 8.0% | 7.0% | 3.5% |
| Ryder Easterlin | 4.1% | 3.3% | 4.2% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 8.5% | 12.1% | 11.3% | 7.9% |
| Robert Turigliatto | 4.8% | 4.2% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 7.8% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 8.0% | 7.9% | 7.7% | 6.5% | 9.8% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 3.4% |
| Jeffrey Hayden | 2.8% | 2.7% | 2.8% | 3.3% | 5.2% | 4.4% | 5.7% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 7.2% | 8.5% | 9.0% | 11.0% | 15.1% | 12.9% |
| Marian Frances Williams | 7.2% | 8.6% | 9.5% | 8.7% | 8.8% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 2.9% | 2.1% |
| Charlie Kutschenreuter | 4.8% | 3.6% | 5.0% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 8.5% | 6.5% | 8.2% | 7.6% | 9.9% | 7.4% | 8.5% | 3.4% |
| Nicholas Gartner | 6.2% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 8.1% | 6.0% | 7.9% | 8.9% | 8.4% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 3.9% | 2.4% |
| Katie Purcell | 1.0% | 1.3% | 0.9% | 1.8% | 2.0% | 2.3% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 7.6% | 12.3% | 47.1% |
| Richie Gordon | 4.9% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 6.4% | 4.9% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 7.9% | 8.0% | 8.1% | 9.5% | 8.9% | 4.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.