← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.4
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1College of Charleston3.12+4.19vs Predicted
-
2Georgetown University2.93+3.71vs Predicted
-
3U. S. Naval Academy2.50+4.27vs Predicted
-
4Georgetown University2.25+4.22vs Predicted
-
5University of Wisconsin2.24+3.34vs Predicted
-
6Florida State University1.69+4.24vs Predicted
-
7Clemson University2.14+1.58vs Predicted
-
8North Carolina State University2.54-0.79vs Predicted
-
9College of Charleston2.64-2.19vs Predicted
-
10University of Miami2.22-1.52vs Predicted
-
11Northwestern University1.93-1.62vs Predicted
-
12Eckerd College2.17-3.15vs Predicted
-
13Jacksonville University3.43-8.41vs Predicted
-
14University of Virginia0.82-1.45vs Predicted
-
15U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.13-6.42vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
5.19College of Charleston3.120.1%1st Place
-
5.71Georgetown University2.930.1%1st Place
-
7.27U. S. Naval Academy2.500.1%1st Place
-
8.22Georgetown University2.250.0%1st Place
-
8.34University of Wisconsin2.240.1%1st Place
-
10.24Florida State University1.690.0%1st Place
-
8.58Clemson University2.140.1%1st Place
-
7.21North Carolina State University2.540.1%1st Place
-
6.81College of Charleston2.640.1%1st Place
-
8.48University of Miami2.220.0%1st Place
-
9.38Northwestern University1.930.0%1st Place
-
8.85Eckerd College2.170.0%1st Place
-
4.59Jacksonville University3.430.2%1st Place
-
12.55University of Virginia0.820.0%1st Place
-
8.58U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.130.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Frederick Martens | 13.4% | 14.7% | 11.3% | 10.2% | 8.6% | 9.0% | 8.0% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 4.1% | 3.0% | 2.0% | 1.9% | 1.1% | 0.5% |
| Andrew Person | 11.6% | 11.9% | 10.4% | 9.2% | 9.2% | 9.1% | 8.0% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 5.2% | 3.7% | 4.1% | 2.5% | 0.9% | 0.6% |
| Nicholas Gartner | 7.1% | 6.3% | 7.7% | 8.6% | 6.9% | 8.2% | 8.1% | 6.9% | 8.0% | 6.5% | 8.3% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 3.0% | 1.6% |
| Marley Mais | 4.9% | 4.9% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 7.9% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 8.1% | 8.4% | 6.3% | 4.2% |
| Charlie Kutschenreuter | 5.4% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 4.2% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 9.5% | 9.9% | 7.0% | 8.4% | 6.9% | 4.1% |
| Jeffrey Hayden | 2.6% | 3.8% | 3.1% | 4.1% | 2.7% | 4.6% | 3.8% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 9.8% | 11.1% | 14.9% | 13.2% |
| TJ Danilek | 6.1% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 8.1% | 6.4% | 8.0% | 8.3% | 9.7% | 7.1% | 9.1% | 4.5% |
| Scott Harris | 7.0% | 7.1% | 8.3% | 6.8% | 7.9% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 7.9% | 9.3% | 7.4% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 4.9% | 4.0% | 1.8% |
| Marian Frances Williams | 7.0% | 7.8% | 8.4% | 9.4% | 8.9% | 7.5% | 8.4% | 8.2% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 4.6% | 3.8% | 3.4% | 0.7% |
| Robert Turigliatto | 4.9% | 3.8% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 7.7% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 8.1% | 8.3% | 6.9% | 4.8% |
| Ryder Easterlin | 3.2% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 7.7% | 6.7% | 8.9% | 10.3% | 12.8% | 7.9% |
| Connor Ratcliff | 4.5% | 3.2% | 4.4% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 8.1% | 9.6% | 8.4% | 8.9% | 9.9% | 4.2% |
| Alfonso Garcia Bringas | 15.8% | 14.9% | 13.0% | 12.6% | 9.5% | 8.0% | 8.6% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 2.8% | 1.9% | 1.3% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.2% |
| Katie Purcell | 1.3% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 1.3% | 2.9% | 2.1% | 1.5% | 3.0% | 3.3% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 8.7% | 12.8% | 46.9% |
| Richie Gordon | 5.2% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 5.3% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 9.0% | 10.4% | 8.4% | 7.8% | 4.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.