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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.4
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Jacksonville University3.43+3.35vs Predicted
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2U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.13+6.45vs Predicted
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3Florida State University1.69+7.05vs Predicted
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4Georgetown University2.93+1.86vs Predicted
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5U. S. Naval Academy2.50+2.44vs Predicted
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6Georgetown University2.25+2.29vs Predicted
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7University of Miami2.22+1.20vs Predicted
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8Clemson University2.14+0.63vs Predicted
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9Eckerd College2.17-0.51vs Predicted
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10University of Wisconsin2.24-1.61vs Predicted
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11College of Charleston3.12-5.58vs Predicted
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12College of Charleston2.64-4.88vs Predicted
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13Northwestern University1.93-3.35vs Predicted
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14North Carolina State University2.54-6.84vs Predicted
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15University of Virginia0.82-2.52vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.35Jacksonville University3.430.2%1st Place
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8.45U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.130.0%1st Place
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10.05Florida State University1.690.0%1st Place
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5.86Georgetown University2.930.1%1st Place
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7.44U. S. Naval Academy2.500.1%1st Place
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8.29Georgetown University2.250.1%1st Place
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8.2University of Miami2.220.1%1st Place
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8.63Clemson University2.140.0%1st Place
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8.49Eckerd College2.170.0%1st Place
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8.39University of Wisconsin2.240.0%1st Place
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5.42College of Charleston3.120.1%1st Place
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7.12College of Charleston2.640.1%1st Place
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9.65Northwestern University1.930.0%1st Place
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7.16North Carolina State University2.540.1%1st Place
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12.48University of Virginia0.820.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alfonso Garcia Bringas | 17.6% | 18.3% | 12.9% | 10.9% | 9.6% | 8.1% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 3.7% | 2.6% | 1.6% | 1.3% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.2% |
| Richie Gordon | 4.6% | 5.5% | 4.6% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 8.3% | 7.5% | 9.5% | 7.2% | 8.7% | 3.9% |
| Jeffrey Hayden | 3.6% | 2.5% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 3.6% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 7.9% | 11.2% | 16.1% | 11.8% |
| Andrew Person | 10.6% | 10.4% | 10.8% | 9.5% | 9.7% | 8.9% | 8.2% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 3.5% | 2.1% | 1.5% | 0.5% |
| Nicholas Gartner | 6.9% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 7.7% | 7.1% | 6.1% | 8.2% | 9.1% | 6.9% | 8.2% | 6.7% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 1.5% |
| Marley Mais | 5.2% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 4.3% | 6.3% | 7.5% | 6.2% | 8.1% | 8.0% | 7.5% | 9.6% | 6.7% | 8.7% | 6.7% | 3.6% |
| Robert Turigliatto | 7.0% | 4.1% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 7.5% | 7.9% | 7.8% | 8.1% | 7.8% | 7.9% | 6.1% | 7.2% | 4.5% |
| TJ Danilek | 4.8% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 4.6% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 8.1% | 6.9% | 8.0% | 8.9% | 9.8% | 7.5% | 5.3% |
| Connor Ratcliff | 4.5% | 4.4% | 4.6% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 7.7% | 6.6% | 7.9% | 7.9% | 9.0% | 8.1% | 8.0% | 3.8% |
| Charlie Kutschenreuter | 4.4% | 4.1% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 7.9% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 8.7% | 7.8% | 3.7% |
| Frederick Martens | 12.6% | 13.5% | 10.8% | 10.6% | 8.0% | 8.4% | 8.8% | 6.9% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 3.7% | 2.9% | 1.7% | 0.8% | 0.7% |
| Marian Frances Williams | 7.0% | 6.5% | 8.6% | 7.4% | 8.5% | 8.3% | 7.7% | 7.9% | 6.9% | 8.9% | 6.1% | 7.3% | 4.2% | 3.6% | 1.1% |
| Ryder Easterlin | 3.6% | 3.7% | 4.1% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 10.6% | 11.3% | 11.8% | 9.5% |
| Scott Harris | 6.5% | 7.4% | 8.3% | 7.7% | 8.0% | 8.1% | 7.7% | 7.1% | 9.3% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 4.2% | 7.0% | 3.0% | 1.7% |
| Katie Purcell | 1.1% | 1.0% | 1.5% | 2.7% | 2.1% | 2.3% | 2.3% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 6.0% | 8.4% | 11.1% | 48.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.