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📊 Prediction Accuracy
29.4%
Within 2 Positions
3.3
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Jacksonville University2.33+5.30vs Predicted
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2Georgetown University2.03+5.57vs Predicted
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3College of Charleston2.21+3.99vs Predicted
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4U. S. Naval Academy2.49+2.00vs Predicted
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5Georgetown University1.86+3.09vs Predicted
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6Eckerd College1.84+2.61vs Predicted
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7College of Charleston2.13+0.28vs Predicted
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8University of Virginia0.59+4.77vs Predicted
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9U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.86-0.45vs Predicted
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10University of California at Berkeley1.36+0.21vs Predicted
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11University of Wisconsin2.24-3.92vs Predicted
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12University of South Carolina0.77+0.43vs Predicted
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13Clemson University1.36-2.58vs Predicted
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14North Carolina State University1.44-3.82vs Predicted
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15University of Miami2.07-7.54vs Predicted
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16Florida State University1.37-5.67vs Predicted
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17Northwestern University0.71-4.27vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.3Jacksonville University2.330.1%1st Place
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7.57Georgetown University2.030.1%1st Place
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6.99College of Charleston2.210.1%1st Place
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6.0U. S. Naval Academy2.490.1%1st Place
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8.09Georgetown University1.860.1%1st Place
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8.61Eckerd College1.840.1%1st Place
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7.28College of Charleston2.130.1%1st Place
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12.77University of Virginia0.590.0%1st Place
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8.55U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.860.1%1st Place
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10.21University of California at Berkeley1.360.0%1st Place
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7.08University of Wisconsin2.240.1%1st Place
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12.43University of South Carolina0.770.0%1st Place
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10.42Clemson University1.360.0%1st Place
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10.18North Carolina State University1.440.0%1st Place
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7.46University of Miami2.070.1%1st Place
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10.33Florida State University1.370.0%1st Place
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12.73Northwestern University0.710.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Andre Guaragna | 11.1% | 9.7% | 10.0% | 9.6% | 8.0% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 3.6% | 2.3% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Gwynie Dunlevy | 7.3% | 8.0% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 8.7% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 2.5% | 1.9% | 0.6% |
| Liza Toppa | 8.0% | 8.3% | 10.3% | 10.1% | 6.3% | 7.8% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 2.7% | 1.0% | 0.4% |
| Gray Benson | 11.6% | 11.0% | 10.3% | 9.5% | 9.1% | 8.3% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 3.8% | 5.5% | 3.8% | 3.7% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 0.6% | 0.2% |
| Riley Kloc | 7.1% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 3.5% | 1.7% |
| Sean Tallman | 5.7% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 3.3% | 1.8% |
| William Curtiss | 7.6% | 7.1% | 8.0% | 7.1% | 8.1% | 8.4% | 8.5% | 5.8% | 9.1% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 4.1% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 1.3% | 0.1% |
| Judson Innes | 2.2% | 2.2% | 1.3% | 2.7% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 3.3% | 3.1% | 3.8% | 3.7% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 9.4% | 18.0% | 24.5% |
| Liam Ballantyne | 5.2% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 5.1% | 7.5% | 5.5% | 7.7% | 5.9% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 5.0% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 3.4% | 1.5% |
| Ciara Dorsay | 3.3% | 3.3% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 4.4% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 8.7% | 7.9% | 7.4% | 6.9% |
| Samuel Bartel | 9.4% | 8.6% | 7.8% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 8.9% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 3.8% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 0.3% |
| James Renneker | 1.9% | 2.4% | 1.8% | 3.1% | 2.7% | 2.4% | 2.8% | 3.5% | 5.3% | 3.5% | 4.1% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 8.0% | 10.3% | 15.8% | 20.2% |
| Robert Gruskos | 4.3% | 3.6% | 3.1% | 3.9% | 3.0% | 4.0% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 5.2% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 9.6% | 9.2% | 8.1% | 6.4% |
| Travis Tucker | 3.2% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 8.2% | 7.5% | 8.1% | 10.8% | 8.8% | 3.9% |
| Richard McCann | 7.8% | 9.4% | 8.1% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 9.2% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 4.7% | 6.1% | 4.1% | 3.6% | 1.4% | 1.0% |
| Mitchell Powell | 3.0% | 3.1% | 3.3% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 6.5% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 8.4% | 8.1% | 8.7% | 7.3% | 6.6% |
| Mitchell Moore | 1.3% | 1.7% | 2.7% | 1.8% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 2.7% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 6.1% | 7.5% | 9.9% | 15.8% | 23.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.