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📊 Prediction Accuracy
35.3%
Within 2 Positions
4.0
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Jacksonville University2.33+5.40vs Predicted
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2College of Charleston2.13+5.24vs Predicted
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3University of Miami2.07+4.57vs Predicted
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4Florida State University1.37+6.34vs Predicted
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5College of Charleston2.21+1.81vs Predicted
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6North Carolina State University1.44+4.14vs Predicted
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7Georgetown University2.03+0.65vs Predicted
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8U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.86+0.18vs Predicted
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9University of California at Berkeley1.36+1.52vs Predicted
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10Northwestern University0.71+2.65vs Predicted
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11University of South Carolina0.77+1.48vs Predicted
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12Clemson University1.36-1.71vs Predicted
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13University of Wisconsin2.24-6.08vs Predicted
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14U. S. Naval Academy2.49-7.95vs Predicted
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15Georgetown University1.86-6.68vs Predicted
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16Eckerd College1.84-7.58vs Predicted
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17University of Virginia0.59-3.96vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.4Jacksonville University2.330.1%1st Place
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7.24College of Charleston2.130.1%1st Place
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7.57University of Miami2.070.1%1st Place
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10.34Florida State University1.370.0%1st Place
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6.81College of Charleston2.210.1%1st Place
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10.14North Carolina State University1.440.0%1st Place
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7.65Georgetown University2.030.1%1st Place
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8.18U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.860.1%1st Place
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10.52University of California at Berkeley1.360.0%1st Place
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12.65Northwestern University0.710.0%1st Place
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12.48University of South Carolina0.770.0%1st Place
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10.29Clemson University1.360.0%1st Place
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6.92University of Wisconsin2.240.1%1st Place
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6.05U. S. Naval Academy2.490.1%1st Place
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8.32Georgetown University1.860.1%1st Place
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8.42Eckerd College1.840.0%1st Place
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13.04University of Virginia0.590.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Andre Guaragna | 11.1% | 9.5% | 9.7% | 7.9% | 9.9% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 8.5% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 5.4% | 4.6% | 2.7% | 3.3% | 1.6% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| William Curtiss | 8.5% | 7.3% | 8.2% | 9.1% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 7.9% | 7.8% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 3.2% | 1.9% | 2.0% | 0.8% |
| Richard McCann | 7.8% | 6.8% | 8.3% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 4.3% | 3.7% | 1.5% | 0.9% |
| Mitchell Powell | 3.9% | 4.7% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 4.1% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 8.0% | 8.1% | 8.3% | 9.3% | 7.7% | 7.2% |
| Liza Toppa | 8.9% | 9.2% | 8.3% | 8.9% | 8.7% | 8.9% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 2.4% | 1.9% | 0.4% |
| Travis Tucker | 4.1% | 3.0% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 3.5% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 4.3% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 7.7% | 9.6% | 8.3% | 7.6% | 4.9% |
| Gwynie Dunlevy | 7.2% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 8.1% | 8.5% | 7.8% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 2.5% | 2.0% | 1.2% |
| Liam Ballantyne | 6.1% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 4.9% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 3.5% | 1.6% |
| Ciara Dorsay | 2.8% | 3.1% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 3.3% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 8.0% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 8.0% | 9.1% | 9.8% | 5.9% |
| Mitchell Moore | 1.7% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 1.4% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 3.0% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 8.1% | 9.9% | 10.5% | 14.9% | 19.7% |
| James Renneker | 2.5% | 2.4% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 3.0% | 2.8% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.6% | 3.7% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 11.6% | 14.0% | 21.8% |
| Robert Gruskos | 3.6% | 3.4% | 4.9% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 7.4% | 8.4% | 8.1% | 9.7% | 8.9% | 5.9% |
| Samuel Bartel | 8.9% | 9.3% | 6.0% | 8.3% | 9.1% | 9.9% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 4.2% | 3.3% | 3.6% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 0.6% |
| Gray Benson | 11.3% | 10.6% | 10.4% | 8.7% | 8.4% | 7.2% | 8.3% | 8.1% | 7.0% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 3.1% | 2.6% | 1.9% | 1.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Riley Kloc | 6.1% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 8.5% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 7.7% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 2.7% | 1.9% |
| Sean Tallman | 4.6% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 7.9% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 4.8% | 3.1% | 1.7% |
| Judson Innes | 0.9% | 2.1% | 1.6% | 2.2% | 2.3% | 2.8% | 2.8% | 2.2% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 5.4% | 4.1% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 10.5% | 17.3% | 25.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.