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📊 Prediction Accuracy
23.5%
Within 2 Positions
3.5
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1College of Charleston2.21+5.82vs Predicted
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2Georgetown University2.03+5.58vs Predicted
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3U. S. Naval Academy2.49+2.95vs Predicted
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4University of Miami2.07+3.59vs Predicted
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5Georgetown University1.86+3.18vs Predicted
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6University of California at Berkeley1.36+4.50vs Predicted
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7Jacksonville University2.33-0.48vs Predicted
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8Clemson University1.36+2.07vs Predicted
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9North Carolina State University1.44+1.20vs Predicted
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10Eckerd College1.84-1.75vs Predicted
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11College of Charleston2.13-3.52vs Predicted
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12Northwestern University0.71+0.64vs Predicted
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13University of Wisconsin2.24-6.10vs Predicted
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14U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.86-5.58vs Predicted
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15Florida State University1.37-4.67vs Predicted
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16University of Virginia0.59-2.89vs Predicted
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17University of South Carolina0.77-4.54vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.82College of Charleston2.210.1%1st Place
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7.58Georgetown University2.030.1%1st Place
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5.95U. S. Naval Academy2.490.1%1st Place
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7.59University of Miami2.070.1%1st Place
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8.18Georgetown University1.860.1%1st Place
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10.5University of California at Berkeley1.360.0%1st Place
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6.52Jacksonville University2.330.1%1st Place
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10.07Clemson University1.360.0%1st Place
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10.2North Carolina State University1.440.0%1st Place
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8.25Eckerd College1.840.1%1st Place
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7.48College of Charleston2.130.1%1st Place
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12.64Northwestern University0.710.0%1st Place
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6.9University of Wisconsin2.240.1%1st Place
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8.42U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.860.1%1st Place
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10.33Florida State University1.370.0%1st Place
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13.11University of Virginia0.590.0%1st Place
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12.46University of South Carolina0.770.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Liza Toppa | 9.6% | 9.4% | 8.3% | 8.3% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 8.6% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 4.7% | 3.2% | 2.0% | 0.6% | 0.2% |
| Gwynie Dunlevy | 7.2% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 6.4% | 8.8% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 4.8% | 3.1% | 1.9% | 0.5% |
| Gray Benson | 11.3% | 12.1% | 9.5% | 11.7% | 6.7% | 8.1% | 6.6% | 8.0% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 4.2% | 3.2% | 2.8% | 2.5% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.2% |
| Richard McCann | 7.5% | 8.5% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 7.9% | 6.5% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 2.6% | 2.6% | 1.0% |
| Riley Kloc | 6.2% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 8.2% | 7.3% | 5.3% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 7.7% | 6.6% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 3.6% | 1.7% |
| Ciara Dorsay | 3.6% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 3.4% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 7.7% | 8.4% | 8.7% | 9.2% | 8.0% | 7.0% |
| Andre Guaragna | 9.2% | 8.3% | 9.6% | 8.1% | 9.7% | 8.4% | 7.9% | 7.8% | 8.3% | 5.8% | 4.6% | 4.0% | 2.6% | 2.7% | 2.3% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Robert Gruskos | 4.2% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 4.6% | 3.2% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 3.9% | 6.8% | 5.3% | 7.9% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 9.4% | 9.5% | 5.2% |
| Travis Tucker | 2.5% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 9.1% | 8.5% | 8.2% | 5.0% |
| Sean Tallman | 6.0% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 8.3% | 5.6% | 3.4% | 3.4% | 1.9% |
| William Curtiss | 8.1% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 7.7% | 7.2% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 7.2% | 5.6% | 4.3% | 3.1% | 1.8% | 0.6% |
| Mitchell Moore | 2.0% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 3.0% | 3.3% | 2.8% | 3.4% | 4.1% | 3.7% | 4.3% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 7.7% | 11.4% | 15.1% | 22.4% |
| Samuel Bartel | 10.1% | 7.4% | 7.7% | 8.0% | 9.6% | 8.4% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 3.1% | 2.7% | 2.4% | 0.1% |
| Liam Ballantyne | 5.5% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 5.1% | 8.5% | 6.4% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 6.5% | 7.7% | 6.5% | 7.7% | 7.1% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 2.7% | 1.5% |
| Mitchell Powell | 3.6% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 2.7% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 6.0% | 4.4% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 7.7% | 9.5% | 8.9% | 8.8% | 6.3% |
| Judson Innes | 2.0% | 0.8% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 3.3% | 3.9% | 3.5% | 5.0% | 6.9% | 8.5% | 11.0% | 15.7% | 25.4% |
| James Renneker | 1.4% | 2.7% | 1.6% | 2.6% | 3.2% | 2.3% | 2.8% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 4.1% | 6.1% | 4.6% | 5.8% | 7.6% | 11.2% | 14.6% | 20.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.