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📊 Prediction Accuracy
11.8%
Within 2 Positions
4.3
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Florida State University1.37+9.05vs Predicted
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2College of Charleston2.21+4.87vs Predicted
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3College of Charleston2.13+4.30vs Predicted
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4Jacksonville University2.33+2.59vs Predicted
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5University of Miami2.07+2.36vs Predicted
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6North Carolina State University1.44+4.18vs Predicted
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7University of California at Berkeley1.36+3.32vs Predicted
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8Northwestern University0.71+4.40vs Predicted
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9U. S. Naval Academy2.49-2.90vs Predicted
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10Georgetown University1.86-1.79vs Predicted
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11University of South Carolina0.77+1.54vs Predicted
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12University of Wisconsin2.24-5.10vs Predicted
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13Eckerd College1.84-4.45vs Predicted
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14Georgetown University2.03-6.20vs Predicted
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15Clemson University1.36-4.68vs Predicted
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16University of Virginia0.59-2.92vs Predicted
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17U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.86-8.55vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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10.05Florida State University1.370.0%1st Place
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6.87College of Charleston2.210.1%1st Place
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7.3College of Charleston2.130.1%1st Place
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6.59Jacksonville University2.330.1%1st Place
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7.36University of Miami2.070.1%1st Place
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10.18North Carolina State University1.440.0%1st Place
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10.32University of California at Berkeley1.360.0%1st Place
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12.4Northwestern University0.710.0%1st Place
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6.1U. S. Naval Academy2.490.1%1st Place
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8.21Georgetown University1.860.1%1st Place
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12.54University of South Carolina0.770.0%1st Place
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6.9University of Wisconsin2.240.1%1st Place
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8.55Eckerd College1.840.1%1st Place
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7.8Georgetown University2.030.1%1st Place
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10.32Clemson University1.360.0%1st Place
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13.08University of Virginia0.590.0%1st Place
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8.45U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.860.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mitchell Powell | 4.7% | 3.3% | 5.0% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 4.1% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 4.3% | 7.2% | 5.6% | 8.2% | 8.0% | 10.3% | 8.5% | 4.6% |
| Liza Toppa | 9.4% | 9.1% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 8.0% | 7.6% | 8.4% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 3.9% | 1.7% | 0.7% | 0.2% |
| William Curtiss | 7.6% | 8.7% | 7.6% | 8.1% | 7.6% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 8.3% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 3.7% | 3.8% | 2.6% | 1.8% | 0.8% |
| Andre Guaragna | 10.2% | 10.3% | 7.2% | 8.5% | 8.8% | 8.8% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 4.6% | 4.4% | 3.8% | 2.8% | 1.9% | 1.0% | 0.4% |
| Richard McCann | 8.5% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 8.0% | 8.8% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 3.8% | 3.2% | 2.5% | 0.9% |
| Travis Tucker | 3.9% | 3.3% | 3.7% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 8.9% | 8.7% | 8.4% | 4.8% |
| Ciara Dorsay | 4.3% | 3.5% | 4.8% | 3.3% | 3.9% | 4.4% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 7.3% | 7.9% | 9.0% | 8.8% | 9.2% | 7.6% | 5.5% |
| Mitchell Moore | 2.7% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 4.6% | 3.6% | 3.2% | 4.4% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 8.1% | 11.0% | 13.9% | 22.0% |
| Gray Benson | 8.8% | 9.9% | 12.4% | 10.8% | 9.4% | 8.0% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 4.8% | 3.8% | 3.1% | 1.6% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| Riley Kloc | 5.2% | 5.3% | 7.4% | 7.7% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 1.6% |
| James Renneker | 2.5% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 2.4% | 2.7% | 2.8% | 2.4% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 8.3% | 9.7% | 15.5% | 22.2% |
| Samuel Bartel | 8.0% | 10.2% | 9.3% | 8.4% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 8.0% | 8.0% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 4.4% | 4.0% | 3.4% | 2.9% | 1.2% | 0.6% |
| Sean Tallman | 5.9% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 3.5% | 1.8% |
| Gwynie Dunlevy | 7.0% | 8.0% | 5.3% | 7.7% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 7.9% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 5.0% | 3.5% | 2.5% | 0.5% |
| Robert Gruskos | 3.8% | 4.6% | 3.8% | 3.7% | 4.6% | 4.0% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 7.7% | 8.3% | 9.5% | 8.1% | 7.1% |
| Judson Innes | 1.9% | 0.9% | 1.4% | 2.5% | 1.7% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 4.1% | 4.1% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 7.4% | 10.9% | 16.4% | 25.0% |
| Liam Ballantyne | 5.6% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 5.5% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 4.0% | 1.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.