Race 6A

ny-maritime-fall-open

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.3
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
Everett Botwinick 27.6% 23.0% 16.2% 14.1% 9.0% 5.3% 2.6% 1.4% 0.7% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
Noah Hemingway 7.5% 7.9% 8.2% 8.0% 9.2% 10.4% 10.8% 10.8% 10.7% 9.0% 5.2% 2.2%
Joseph Bonacci 6.7% 8.5% 8.5% 9.2% 9.5% 8.6% 11.6% 10.9% 11.1% 8.9% 5.1% 1.6%
Oscar Gilroy 2.8% 2.8% 3.4% 4.2% 5.1% 6.7% 6.7% 8.8% 10.3% 15.1% 19.6% 14.4%
Matias Martin 14.1% 13.5% 12.4% 13.2% 11.6% 11.0% 9.4% 6.0% 4.2% 2.8% 1.3% 0.4%
Elizabeth Frost 8.8% 9.2% 10.2% 9.7% 11.1% 12.1% 10.4% 11.2% 7.4% 5.9% 3.2% 0.9%
Nathaniel Hartwell 8.6% 9.7% 12.3% 11.2% 11.3% 11.2% 10.2% 10.0% 7.1% 5.1% 2.4% 0.8%
James Owen 11.6% 12.2% 12.3% 13.0% 10.8% 11.6% 9.8% 7.6% 6.0% 3.5% 1.5% 0.1%
Jack Hammett 4.4% 4.6% 5.9% 7.1% 8.1% 6.7% 8.9% 10.0% 13.9% 12.0% 11.2% 7.2%
Berkley Yiu 5.0% 3.9% 5.2% 5.2% 6.8% 6.8% 9.8% 10.8% 11.8% 13.6% 13.6% 7.7%
William Mullray 2.0% 3.0% 3.4% 3.2% 5.5% 5.9% 6.3% 7.2% 10.9% 14.2% 20.8% 17.4%
Tess Halpern 1.1% 1.8% 2.0% 1.9% 2.1% 3.6% 3.5% 5.2% 5.8% 9.8% 16.1% 47.2%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.