← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
52.9%
Within 2 Positions
3.1
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Jacksonville University2.33+5.31vs Predicted
-
2Georgetown University2.03+5.54vs Predicted
-
3Clemson University1.36+7.21vs Predicted
-
4College of Charleston2.13+3.37vs Predicted
-
5U. S. Naval Academy2.49+0.84vs Predicted
-
6University of Miami2.07+1.67vs Predicted
-
7Eckerd College1.84+1.43vs Predicted
-
8U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.86+0.22vs Predicted
-
9Georgetown University1.86-0.43vs Predicted
-
10University of California at Berkeley1.36+0.24vs Predicted
-
11North Carolina State University1.44-0.85vs Predicted
-
12University of Virginia0.59+0.94vs Predicted
-
13University of South Carolina0.77-0.41vs Predicted
-
14College of Charleston2.21-6.88vs Predicted
-
15Northwestern University0.71-2.44vs Predicted
-
16University of Wisconsin2.24-9.11vs Predicted
-
17Florida State University1.37-6.65vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
6.31Jacksonville University2.330.1%1st Place
-
7.54Georgetown University2.030.1%1st Place
-
10.21Clemson University1.360.0%1st Place
-
7.37College of Charleston2.130.1%1st Place
-
5.84U. S. Naval Academy2.490.1%1st Place
-
7.67University of Miami2.070.1%1st Place
-
8.43Eckerd College1.840.1%1st Place
-
8.22U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.860.1%1st Place
-
8.57Georgetown University1.860.0%1st Place
-
10.24University of California at Berkeley1.360.0%1st Place
-
10.15North Carolina State University1.440.0%1st Place
-
12.94University of Virginia0.590.0%1st Place
-
12.59University of South Carolina0.770.0%1st Place
-
7.12College of Charleston2.210.1%1st Place
-
12.56Northwestern University0.710.0%1st Place
-
6.89University of Wisconsin2.240.1%1st Place
-
10.35Florida State University1.370.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Andre Guaragna | 11.2% | 10.1% | 9.5% | 9.7% | 6.3% | 8.1% | 7.6% | 8.4% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 3.6% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Gwynie Dunlevy | 7.9% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 7.6% | 6.5% | 7.6% | 8.3% | 7.6% | 4.1% | 5.1% | 4.0% | 3.4% | 2.5% | 0.4% |
| Robert Gruskos | 4.0% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 5.0% | 6.7% | 8.1% | 8.9% | 8.2% | 9.1% | 5.9% |
| William Curtiss | 8.9% | 8.4% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 7.9% | 7.6% | 5.1% | 6.7% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 3.4% | 2.0% | 0.8% |
| Gray Benson | 12.2% | 12.2% | 10.5% | 10.0% | 9.3% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 4.7% | 3.2% | 3.9% | 3.3% | 2.1% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 0.3% |
| Richard McCann | 7.2% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 9.1% | 7.0% | 8.0% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 4.3% | 2.9% | 2.6% | 0.4% |
| Sean Tallman | 5.5% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 8.8% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 3.3% | 1.3% |
| Liam Ballantyne | 7.7% | 5.6% | 7.9% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 2.9% | 1.7% |
| Riley Kloc | 4.8% | 6.0% | 4.9% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 5.4% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 5.4% | 3.0% | 1.8% |
| Ciara Dorsay | 3.1% | 3.6% | 3.7% | 3.1% | 5.0% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 8.3% | 7.6% | 8.8% | 8.4% | 5.3% |
| Travis Tucker | 4.0% | 4.8% | 4.1% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 4.1% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 3.8% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 8.4% | 7.6% | 9.5% | 8.5% | 5.3% |
| Judson Innes | 2.0% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 2.8% | 3.3% | 3.3% | 4.1% | 4.6% | 4.0% | 5.7% | 7.1% | 11.1% | 16.0% | 25.6% |
| James Renneker | 2.2% | 2.7% | 1.4% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 2.2% | 4.0% | 6.8% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 10.3% | 10.0% | 16.1% | 19.8% |
| Liza Toppa | 7.8% | 7.5% | 9.5% | 8.0% | 7.7% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 5.3% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 3.7% | 3.4% | 2.7% | 1.3% | 0.4% |
| Mitchell Moore | 1.3% | 3.5% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 2.6% | 3.4% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 10.5% | 14.3% | 22.9% |
| Samuel Bartel | 7.4% | 8.1% | 9.5% | 8.7% | 9.0% | 9.2% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 4.5% | 6.3% | 4.1% | 3.5% | 2.1% | 0.8% | 0.6% |
| Mitchell Powell | 2.8% | 3.2% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 4.2% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 8.6% | 9.6% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 7.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.