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📊 Prediction Accuracy
17.6%
Within 2 Positions
3.6
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1U. S. Naval Academy2.49+4.71vs Predicted
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2College of Charleston2.21+4.74vs Predicted
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3Jacksonville University2.33+3.45vs Predicted
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4University of Miami2.07+3.43vs Predicted
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5College of Charleston2.13+1.99vs Predicted
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6University of California at Berkeley1.36+4.33vs Predicted
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7Georgetown University2.03+0.50vs Predicted
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8Eckerd College1.84+0.10vs Predicted
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9Northwestern University0.71+3.55vs Predicted
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10University of Wisconsin2.24-3.33vs Predicted
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11Georgetown University1.86-2.67vs Predicted
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12University of Virginia-0.55+3.41vs Predicted
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13Florida State University1.37-2.78vs Predicted
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14North Carolina State University1.44-4.02vs Predicted
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15U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.86-6.83vs Predicted
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16Clemson University1.36-5.88vs Predicted
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17University of South Carolina0.77-4.72vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.71U. S. Naval Academy2.490.1%1st Place
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6.74College of Charleston2.210.1%1st Place
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6.45Jacksonville University2.330.1%1st Place
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7.43University of Miami2.070.1%1st Place
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6.99College of Charleston2.130.1%1st Place
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10.33University of California at Berkeley1.360.0%1st Place
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7.5Georgetown University2.030.1%1st Place
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8.1Eckerd College1.840.1%1st Place
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12.55Northwestern University0.710.0%1st Place
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6.67University of Wisconsin2.240.1%1st Place
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8.33Georgetown University1.860.1%1st Place
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15.41University of Virginia-0.550.0%1st Place
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10.22Florida State University1.370.0%1st Place
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9.98North Carolina State University1.440.0%1st Place
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8.17U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.860.1%1st Place
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10.12Clemson University1.360.0%1st Place
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12.28University of South Carolina0.770.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gray Benson | 12.7% | 11.0% | 10.3% | 9.9% | 9.3% | 8.8% | 8.3% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 4.2% | 3.6% | 2.4% | 1.5% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Liza Toppa | 8.7% | 8.9% | 9.8% | 7.1% | 8.7% | 7.3% | 8.4% | 7.5% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 5.6% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 2.4% | 1.7% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Andre Guaragna | 9.8% | 9.2% | 10.6% | 9.6% | 6.6% | 8.7% | 8.0% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 4.0% | 3.7% | 3.7% | 1.4% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| Richard McCann | 7.9% | 7.6% | 7.7% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 8.4% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 5.5% | 3.3% | 3.1% | 1.7% | 0.2% |
| William Curtiss | 8.2% | 9.0% | 8.0% | 8.0% | 8.6% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 8.1% | 5.8% | 7.1% | 4.1% | 5.5% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 2.7% | 1.4% | 0.3% |
| Ciara Dorsay | 3.4% | 3.2% | 3.7% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 8.7% | 9.5% | 11.0% | 8.5% | 2.8% |
| Gwynie Dunlevy | 6.8% | 7.5% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 8.7% | 8.4% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 8.1% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 3.7% | 0.8% | 0.3% |
| Sean Tallman | 6.7% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 3.1% | 0.4% |
| Mitchell Moore | 1.4% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 4.6% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 7.5% | 8.3% | 13.1% | 20.1% | 13.1% |
| Samuel Bartel | 8.8% | 9.2% | 8.8% | 8.8% | 9.4% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 8.5% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 4.2% | 2.0% | 1.5% | 1.3% | 0.2% |
| Riley Kloc | 6.8% | 6.6% | 4.3% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 8.5% | 6.2% | 7.8% | 6.4% | 4.8% | 2.9% | 0.5% |
| Elizabeth Harrington | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 1.7% | 0.5% | 1.3% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 2.5% | 2.2% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 13.5% | 60.7% |
| Mitchell Powell | 3.8% | 4.1% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 3.1% | 4.1% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 8.2% | 9.1% | 9.8% | 8.4% | 7.6% | 3.8% |
| Travis Tucker | 3.4% | 3.9% | 4.4% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 3.8% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 7.7% | 9.6% | 10.7% | 6.7% | 2.4% |
| Liam Ballantyne | 6.3% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 8.0% | 6.1% | 8.0% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 5.3% | 3.7% | 3.3% | 0.8% |
| Robert Gruskos | 3.4% | 2.6% | 4.2% | 5.4% | 3.9% | 4.6% | 5.9% | 4.5% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 8.0% | 8.0% | 7.7% | 11.1% | 7.2% | 2.9% |
| James Renneker | 1.5% | 1.7% | 2.2% | 2.7% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 4.3% | 2.7% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 11.1% | 10.9% | 20.2% | 11.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.