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📊 Prediction Accuracy
23.5%
Within 2 Positions
3.3
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1College of Charleston2.21+5.69vs Predicted
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2U. S. Naval Academy2.49+3.75vs Predicted
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3Jacksonville University2.33+3.40vs Predicted
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4Florida State University1.37+6.09vs Predicted
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5University of California at Berkeley1.36+4.96vs Predicted
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6Eckerd College1.84+2.44vs Predicted
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7University of Miami2.07+0.41vs Predicted
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8College of Charleston2.13-0.97vs Predicted
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9North Carolina State University1.44+0.98vs Predicted
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10University of Wisconsin2.24-3.33vs Predicted
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11U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.86-2.65vs Predicted
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12Georgetown University2.03-4.51vs Predicted
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13Georgetown University1.86-4.69vs Predicted
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14Clemson University1.36-3.76vs Predicted
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15Northwestern University0.71-2.61vs Predicted
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16University of South Carolina0.77-3.71vs Predicted
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17University of Virginia-0.55-1.49vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.69College of Charleston2.210.1%1st Place
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5.75U. S. Naval Academy2.490.1%1st Place
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6.4Jacksonville University2.330.1%1st Place
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10.09Florida State University1.370.0%1st Place
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9.96University of California at Berkeley1.360.0%1st Place
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8.44Eckerd College1.840.1%1st Place
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7.41University of Miami2.070.1%1st Place
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7.03College of Charleston2.130.1%1st Place
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9.98North Carolina State University1.440.0%1st Place
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6.67University of Wisconsin2.240.1%1st Place
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8.35U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.860.1%1st Place
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7.49Georgetown University2.030.1%1st Place
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8.31Georgetown University1.860.1%1st Place
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10.24Clemson University1.360.0%1st Place
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12.39Northwestern University0.710.0%1st Place
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12.29University of South Carolina0.770.0%1st Place
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15.51University of Virginia-0.550.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Liza Toppa | 9.6% | 10.2% | 8.8% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 8.0% | 6.8% | 8.1% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 3.5% | 2.7% | 2.0% | 0.9% | 0.0% |
| Gray Benson | 11.5% | 12.2% | 9.6% | 9.8% | 9.5% | 9.8% | 7.5% | 5.5% | 7.1% | 5.0% | 4.4% | 3.3% | 2.4% | 1.3% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Andre Guaragna | 10.6% | 9.3% | 9.5% | 9.8% | 7.5% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 1.6% | 0.6% | 0.2% |
| Mitchell Powell | 3.9% | 3.7% | 5.0% | 3.5% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 7.6% | 5.2% | 7.9% | 9.0% | 9.5% | 9.8% | 8.7% | 1.9% |
| Ciara Dorsay | 3.3% | 4.6% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 2.9% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 9.7% | 7.7% | 8.6% | 7.8% | 3.6% |
| Sean Tallman | 5.6% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 5.8% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 8.0% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 3.0% | 1.0% |
| Richard McCann | 7.9% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 7.7% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 9.8% | 8.1% | 6.4% | 8.2% | 7.1% | 5.0% | 4.3% | 3.1% | 4.2% | 1.0% | 0.2% |
| William Curtiss | 8.7% | 9.1% | 8.6% | 9.4% | 7.0% | 5.2% | 7.9% | 7.2% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 4.0% | 3.6% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Travis Tucker | 2.6% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 3.8% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 7.7% | 8.8% | 9.1% | 7.6% | 8.9% | 7.3% | 2.4% |
| Samuel Bartel | 9.1% | 8.5% | 10.3% | 8.6% | 8.8% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 3.9% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 1.7% | 1.2% | 0.2% |
| Liam Ballantyne | 6.9% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 8.2% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 6.8% | 9.6% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 2.6% | 0.8% |
| Gwynie Dunlevy | 7.0% | 7.3% | 8.3% | 8.4% | 7.4% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 4.2% | 3.0% | 2.1% | 0.4% |
| Riley Kloc | 6.1% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 8.2% | 6.1% | 7.7% | 6.1% | 8.1% | 7.6% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 2.7% | 4.8% | 1.0% |
| Robert Gruskos | 2.9% | 3.2% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 4.4% | 5.7% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 8.4% | 9.8% | 9.5% | 9.3% | 2.5% |
| Mitchell Moore | 1.6% | 2.9% | 1.7% | 2.2% | 2.7% | 3.2% | 2.3% | 3.3% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 10.3% | 14.8% | 20.3% | 11.3% |
| James Renneker | 2.3% | 1.0% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 2.9% | 3.3% | 3.4% | 3.2% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 12.0% | 12.8% | 17.0% | 11.3% |
| Elizabeth Harrington | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 1.3% | 2.3% | 2.6% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 5.7% | 12.3% | 63.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.