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📊 Prediction Accuracy
43.8%
Within 2 Positions
3.3
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Clemson University1.36+8.57vs Predicted
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2University of Wisconsin2.24+4.52vs Predicted
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3College of Charleston2.13+3.96vs Predicted
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4Georgetown University1.86+4.11vs Predicted
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5U. S. Naval Academy2.49+0.77vs Predicted
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6University of California at Berkeley1.36+3.77vs Predicted
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7U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.86+1.09vs Predicted
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8Eckerd College1.84-0.10vs Predicted
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9Georgetown University2.03-1.74vs Predicted
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10Jacksonville University2.33-3.68vs Predicted
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11Florida State University1.37-1.25vs Predicted
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12College of Charleston2.21-5.25vs Predicted
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13Northwestern University0.71-1.13vs Predicted
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14University of Miami2.07-6.98vs Predicted
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15North Carolina State University1.44-5.38vs Predicted
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16University of Virginia-0.55-1.28vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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9.57Clemson University1.360.0%1st Place
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6.52University of Wisconsin2.240.1%1st Place
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6.96College of Charleston2.130.1%1st Place
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8.11Georgetown University1.860.1%1st Place
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5.77U. S. Naval Academy2.490.1%1st Place
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9.77University of California at Berkeley1.360.0%1st Place
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8.09U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.860.1%1st Place
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7.9Eckerd College1.840.1%1st Place
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7.26Georgetown University2.030.1%1st Place
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6.32Jacksonville University2.330.1%1st Place
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9.75Florida State University1.370.0%1st Place
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6.75College of Charleston2.210.1%1st Place
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11.87Northwestern University0.710.0%1st Place
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7.02University of Miami2.070.1%1st Place
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9.62North Carolina State University1.440.0%1st Place
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14.72University of Virginia-0.550.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Robert Gruskos | 2.7% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 6.1% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 4.3% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 8.9% | 9.2% | 10.5% | 10.8% | 2.7% |
| Samuel Bartel | 9.7% | 10.6% | 7.8% | 9.2% | 8.4% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 4.3% | 2.3% | 1.8% | 0.2% |
| William Curtiss | 9.1% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 8.2% | 7.0% | 9.3% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 10.0% | 7.8% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 4.0% | 3.6% | 1.6% | 0.7% |
| Riley Kloc | 5.5% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 7.9% | 8.4% | 5.8% | 7.9% | 6.2% | 4.6% | 1.0% |
| Gray Benson | 10.9% | 11.9% | 10.4% | 8.9% | 10.6% | 9.4% | 5.5% | 8.1% | 6.8% | 5.2% | 4.3% | 4.1% | 2.0% | 1.5% | 0.2% | 0.2% |
| Ciara Dorsay | 3.7% | 2.1% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 4.8% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 8.7% | 9.1% | 10.2% | 11.5% | 3.8% |
| Liam Ballantyne | 6.8% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 8.4% | 8.0% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 4.0% | 1.1% |
| Sean Tallman | 6.8% | 6.1% | 7.7% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 8.6% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 8.2% | 7.7% | 6.8% | 4.8% | 3.7% | 1.1% |
| Gwynie Dunlevy | 7.5% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 8.1% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 8.2% | 6.9% | 8.0% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 6.4% | 5.2% | 4.3% | 2.9% | 0.8% |
| Andre Guaragna | 9.2% | 9.8% | 9.2% | 8.1% | 7.9% | 9.8% | 9.7% | 9.0% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 3.2% | 2.0% | 0.9% | 0.3% |
| Mitchell Powell | 4.5% | 4.6% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 5.6% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 10.1% | 12.1% | 10.7% | 3.6% |
| Liza Toppa | 9.6% | 7.8% | 9.8% | 9.0% | 8.7% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 8.5% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 3.9% | 2.8% | 2.2% | 0.4% |
| Mitchell Moore | 1.6% | 2.0% | 1.9% | 2.3% | 2.7% | 3.6% | 2.9% | 3.9% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 5.4% | 7.1% | 8.7% | 13.3% | 23.5% | 12.8% |
| Richard McCann | 8.3% | 6.9% | 8.3% | 8.9% | 8.2% | 7.5% | 7.7% | 8.2% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 4.2% | 3.5% | 2.3% | 0.7% |
| Travis Tucker | 3.8% | 3.8% | 3.6% | 3.4% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 8.2% | 4.7% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 8.5% | 7.1% | 11.4% | 10.8% | 8.7% | 3.0% |
| Elizabeth Harrington | 0.3% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 1.4% | 2.2% | 1.7% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 5.2% | 10.6% | 67.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.