← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
37.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.9
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1College of Charleston2.13+5.86vs Predicted
-
2Georgetown University2.03+5.22vs Predicted
-
3College of Charleston2.21+3.68vs Predicted
-
4U. S. Naval Academy2.49+1.86vs Predicted
-
5Eckerd College1.84+3.05vs Predicted
-
6Jacksonville University2.33+0.38vs Predicted
-
7Clemson University1.36+2.81vs Predicted
-
8Georgetown University1.86-0.16vs Predicted
-
9University of Wisconsin2.24-2.46vs Predicted
-
10U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.86-1.97vs Predicted
-
11North Carolina State University1.44-1.56vs Predicted
-
12University of Miami2.07-4.80vs Predicted
-
13University of California at Berkeley1.36-3.25vs Predicted
-
14Florida State University1.37-4.38vs Predicted
-
15Northwestern University0.71-2.98vs Predicted
-
16University of Virginia-0.55-1.29vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
6.86College of Charleston2.130.1%1st Place
-
7.22Georgetown University2.030.1%1st Place
-
6.68College of Charleston2.210.1%1st Place
-
5.86U. S. Naval Academy2.490.1%1st Place
-
8.05Eckerd College1.840.1%1st Place
-
6.38Jacksonville University2.330.1%1st Place
-
9.81Clemson University1.360.0%1st Place
-
7.84Georgetown University1.860.1%1st Place
-
6.54University of Wisconsin2.240.1%1st Place
-
8.03U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.860.1%1st Place
-
9.44North Carolina State University1.440.0%1st Place
-
7.2University of Miami2.070.1%1st Place
-
9.75University of California at Berkeley1.360.0%1st Place
-
9.62Florida State University1.370.0%1st Place
-
12.02Northwestern University0.710.0%1st Place
-
14.71University of Virginia-0.550.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| William Curtiss | 7.1% | 9.7% | 8.6% | 8.2% | 8.3% | 8.3% | 6.7% | 8.4% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 4.4% | 3.2% | 1.4% | 0.3% |
| Gwynie Dunlevy | 7.7% | 7.9% | 8.4% | 7.9% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 4.0% | 2.3% | 0.9% |
| Liza Toppa | 9.8% | 7.4% | 8.5% | 7.8% | 8.8% | 8.7% | 8.2% | 7.0% | 8.2% | 7.3% | 5.6% | 4.4% | 3.4% | 2.5% | 2.2% | 0.2% |
| Gray Benson | 10.9% | 11.9% | 9.6% | 9.1% | 9.3% | 9.9% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 3.3% | 2.4% | 1.3% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| Sean Tallman | 5.2% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 9.8% | 7.4% | 6.1% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 3.7% | 1.0% |
| Andre Guaragna | 8.7% | 9.3% | 11.2% | 8.9% | 9.1% | 7.0% | 9.3% | 7.6% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 4.6% | 4.4% | 4.4% | 2.6% | 1.4% | 0.1% |
| Robert Gruskos | 4.2% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 10.7% | 11.8% | 11.2% | 4.0% |
| Riley Kloc | 6.5% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 7.9% | 7.1% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 9.4% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 3.3% | 0.7% |
| Samuel Bartel | 10.1% | 8.9% | 9.1% | 8.2% | 8.5% | 8.1% | 7.7% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 4.4% | 3.9% | 3.0% | 2.1% | 0.3% |
| Liam Ballantyne | 6.2% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 7.7% | 8.4% | 8.0% | 8.2% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 4.8% | 3.9% | 0.9% |
| Travis Tucker | 4.9% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 6.0% | 7.3% | 5.8% | 7.6% | 8.4% | 9.0% | 11.3% | 9.4% | 2.7% |
| Richard McCann | 8.6% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 8.3% | 9.3% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 7.9% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 3.7% | 3.0% | 0.5% |
| Ciara Dorsay | 3.0% | 2.8% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 6.6% | 5.3% | 7.7% | 8.1% | 8.9% | 9.4% | 9.7% | 10.1% | 3.7% |
| Mitchell Powell | 4.5% | 3.1% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 4.3% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 8.0% | 8.7% | 8.6% | 9.9% | 10.8% | 3.3% |
| Mitchell Moore | 2.2% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 2.0% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 3.4% | 2.8% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 8.0% | 8.4% | 14.2% | 23.4% | 13.8% |
| Elizabeth Harrington | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 2.1% | 2.0% | 4.0% | 5.5% | 10.9% | 67.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.