← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
43.8%
Within 2 Positions
2.9
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1College of Charleston2.13+5.86vs Predicted
-
2Georgetown University2.03+5.23vs Predicted
-
3Georgetown University1.86+4.95vs Predicted
-
4Eckerd College1.84+4.18vs Predicted
-
5Jacksonville University2.33+1.26vs Predicted
-
6College of Charleston2.21+0.76vs Predicted
-
7U. S. Naval Academy2.49-1.14vs Predicted
-
8University of Wisconsin2.24-1.61vs Predicted
-
9University of California at Berkeley1.36+0.71vs Predicted
-
10North Carolina State University1.44-0.48vs Predicted
-
11University of Miami2.07-3.86vs Predicted
-
12U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.86-4.02vs Predicted
-
13Clemson University1.36-3.30vs Predicted
-
14University of Virginia-0.55+0.60vs Predicted
-
15Northwestern University0.71-2.96vs Predicted
-
16Florida State University1.37-6.17vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
6.86College of Charleston2.130.1%1st Place
-
7.23Georgetown University2.030.1%1st Place
-
7.95Georgetown University1.860.1%1st Place
-
8.18Eckerd College1.840.0%1st Place
-
6.26Jacksonville University2.330.1%1st Place
-
6.76College of Charleston2.210.1%1st Place
-
5.86U. S. Naval Academy2.490.1%1st Place
-
6.39University of Wisconsin2.240.1%1st Place
-
9.71University of California at Berkeley1.360.0%1st Place
-
9.52North Carolina State University1.440.0%1st Place
-
7.14University of Miami2.070.1%1st Place
-
7.98U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.860.1%1st Place
-
9.7Clemson University1.360.0%1st Place
-
14.6University of Virginia-0.550.0%1st Place
-
12.04Northwestern University0.710.0%1st Place
-
9.83Florida State University1.370.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| William Curtiss | 8.3% | 9.1% | 8.9% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 9.5% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 3.4% | 1.6% | 0.5% |
| Gwynie Dunlevy | 7.6% | 8.5% | 8.3% | 7.9% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 8.1% | 8.6% | 5.2% | 7.7% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 3.7% | 2.5% | 0.8% |
| Riley Kloc | 6.6% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 7.7% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 8.2% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 5.1% | 3.8% | 1.2% |
| Sean Tallman | 4.3% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 5.4% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 5.6% | 7.6% | 7.9% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 7.9% | 7.9% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 0.5% |
| Andre Guaragna | 9.5% | 10.8% | 8.1% | 9.2% | 10.1% | 8.3% | 7.6% | 6.5% | 8.1% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 4.4% | 3.4% | 2.2% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Liza Toppa | 8.2% | 7.9% | 9.4% | 8.8% | 8.3% | 8.5% | 8.9% | 7.3% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 3.7% | 3.4% | 1.9% | 0.6% |
| Gray Benson | 12.8% | 9.2% | 10.6% | 10.9% | 8.1% | 8.2% | 7.6% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 5.8% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 2.6% | 1.6% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Samuel Bartel | 10.1% | 9.7% | 9.1% | 8.0% | 8.7% | 8.5% | 8.6% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 4.9% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 2.9% | 1.6% | 0.1% |
| Ciara Dorsay | 3.6% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 3.9% | 3.6% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 7.0% | 5.2% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 7.9% | 11.3% | 9.6% | 9.8% | 4.2% |
| Travis Tucker | 4.0% | 4.1% | 4.9% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 8.7% | 9.4% | 8.9% | 10.1% | 8.4% | 3.0% |
| Richard McCann | 9.1% | 7.1% | 7.7% | 7.8% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 8.0% | 8.5% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 1.7% | 0.7% |
| Liam Ballantyne | 6.9% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 7.6% | 8.5% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 7.7% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 7.7% | 3.5% | 1.5% |
| Robert Gruskos | 3.4% | 3.3% | 4.4% | 5.4% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 6.6% | 4.8% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 8.4% | 8.7% | 8.4% | 10.7% | 9.9% | 4.1% |
| Elizabeth Harrington | 0.3% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 4.3% | 6.0% | 12.8% | 64.1% |
| Mitchell Moore | 2.4% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 8.1% | 12.6% | 25.8% | 14.5% |
| Mitchell Powell | 2.9% | 4.1% | 3.2% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 7.6% | 9.2% | 9.1% | 11.1% | 10.0% | 4.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.