← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
31.2%
Within 2 Positions
3.8
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Georgetown University1.86+6.82vs Predicted
-
2Jacksonville University2.33+4.22vs Predicted
-
3North Carolina State University1.44+6.47vs Predicted
-
4Eckerd College1.84+4.18vs Predicted
-
5Northwestern University0.71+6.87vs Predicted
-
6College of Charleston2.21+0.79vs Predicted
-
7U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.86+1.09vs Predicted
-
8College of Charleston2.13-1.14vs Predicted
-
9U. S. Naval Academy2.49-3.32vs Predicted
-
10Georgetown University2.03-2.56vs Predicted
-
11Florida State University1.37-1.30vs Predicted
-
12University of California at Berkeley1.36-2.23vs Predicted
-
13Clemson University1.36-3.32vs Predicted
-
14University of Wisconsin2.24-7.53vs Predicted
-
15University of Virginia-0.55-0.30vs Predicted
-
16University of Miami2.07-8.74vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
7.82Georgetown University1.860.0%1st Place
-
6.22Jacksonville University2.330.1%1st Place
-
9.47North Carolina State University1.440.1%1st Place
-
8.18Eckerd College1.840.1%1st Place
-
11.87Northwestern University0.710.0%1st Place
-
6.79College of Charleston2.210.1%1st Place
-
8.09U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.860.1%1st Place
-
6.86College of Charleston2.130.1%1st Place
-
5.68U. S. Naval Academy2.490.1%1st Place
-
7.44Georgetown University2.030.1%1st Place
-
9.7Florida State University1.370.1%1st Place
-
9.77University of California at Berkeley1.360.0%1st Place
-
9.68Clemson University1.360.0%1st Place
-
6.47University of Wisconsin2.240.1%1st Place
-
14.7University of Virginia-0.550.0%1st Place
-
7.26University of Miami2.070.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Riley Kloc | 4.7% | 9.3% | 6.9% | 5.1% | 7.6% | 8.1% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 7.7% | 7.7% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 5.2% | 3.8% | 0.8% |
| Andre Guaragna | 10.3% | 10.4% | 9.6% | 9.7% | 8.7% | 6.9% | 8.6% | 7.2% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 3.6% | 2.5% | 1.1% | 0.1% |
| Travis Tucker | 5.5% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 4.8% | 4.4% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 8.4% | 9.8% | 7.7% | 10.5% | 8.8% | 3.2% |
| Sean Tallman | 5.4% | 7.4% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 8.1% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 6.3% | 4.9% | 1.4% |
| Mitchell Moore | 1.6% | 1.8% | 2.3% | 2.4% | 2.2% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 4.8% | 3.8% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 7.1% | 9.4% | 13.9% | 24.3% | 11.2% |
| Liza Toppa | 7.3% | 8.4% | 10.2% | 9.0% | 7.8% | 8.5% | 6.8% | 8.5% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 5.5% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 3.4% | 2.1% | 0.1% |
| Liam Ballantyne | 6.4% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 8.4% | 7.4% | 6.0% | 3.6% | 1.4% |
| William Curtiss | 8.5% | 9.1% | 7.5% | 8.0% | 8.3% | 8.4% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 2.4% | 2.1% | 0.1% |
| Gray Benson | 11.8% | 12.6% | 11.1% | 9.4% | 8.3% | 7.7% | 8.8% | 7.9% | 5.7% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 0.9% | 1.3% | 0.1% |
| Gwynie Dunlevy | 8.1% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 7.6% | 8.0% | 7.0% | 8.5% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 9.2% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 4.6% | 4.3% | 2.2% | 0.6% |
| Mitchell Powell | 5.2% | 4.0% | 3.4% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 8.7% | 8.8% | 11.7% | 10.7% | 3.5% |
| Ciara Dorsay | 4.2% | 3.3% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 7.8% | 9.0% | 11.0% | 11.6% | 4.3% |
| Robert Gruskos | 3.2% | 3.4% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 7.1% | 9.4% | 7.5% | 10.7% | 9.7% | 8.5% | 4.5% |
| Samuel Bartel | 10.4% | 6.6% | 9.4% | 9.5% | 9.9% | 8.8% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 3.2% | 2.5% | 0.9% | 0.2% |
| Elizabeth Harrington | 0.5% | 1.4% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 3.4% | 5.1% | 12.0% | 68.1% |
| Richard McCann | 6.9% | 6.7% | 8.4% | 8.8% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 7.7% | 9.0% | 8.3% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 4.6% | 2.1% | 0.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.