Race 12B

veitor

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

58.3%
Within 2 Positions
2.0
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
Rebecca Jackson 11.1% 9.9% 10.5% 12.6% 13.6% 12.0% 11.8% 8.5% 6.7% 2.5% 0.8% 0.0%
Tanya Cuprak 22.7% 20.4% 18.1% 13.4% 10.0% 6.8% 5.2% 2.7% 0.4% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
Matt Johnson 12.5% 11.0% 12.9% 11.7% 11.5% 13.3% 12.1% 8.3% 4.4% 2.0% 0.3% 0.0%
Mackenzie Spencer 10.4% 14.5% 13.8% 12.4% 12.8% 11.3% 9.6% 7.4% 5.2% 2.2% 0.3% 0.1%
Natalie Salk 13.1% 13.5% 14.8% 13.4% 12.7% 9.9% 9.1% 6.8% 3.6% 2.7% 0.4% 0.0%
Nikolas Osvalds 12.5% 12.6% 12.2% 13.9% 12.3% 11.7% 9.6% 7.4% 5.0% 2.4% 0.4% 0.0%
John Joseph 4.3% 5.1% 4.1% 6.2% 7.0% 8.5% 9.2% 14.8% 15.2% 14.9% 7.5% 3.2%
Sean Andrew 6.4% 5.4% 5.8% 7.8% 8.5% 10.4% 10.8% 14.2% 14.4% 10.2% 5.0% 1.1%
Marshall McLean 1.4% 1.6% 1.7% 2.5% 2.6% 4.5% 6.1% 9.7% 15.3% 19.7% 21.8% 13.1%
Robert Keller 3.7% 3.9% 4.4% 4.1% 6.1% 7.0% 10.5% 12.6% 17.3% 16.0% 10.9% 3.5%
Patrick Morrissey 1.3% 0.6% 0.8% 0.9% 1.5% 1.9% 2.9% 4.0% 6.6% 11.7% 27.4% 40.4%
Christopher Calahan 0.6% 1.5% 0.9% 1.1% 1.4% 2.7% 3.1% 3.6% 5.9% 15.4% 25.2% 38.6%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.