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📊 Prediction Accuracy
35.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.3
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Northeastern University1.22+7.90vs Predicted
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2Brown University1.85+4.86vs Predicted
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3Tufts University1.15+4.63vs Predicted
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4Bowdoin College1.84+1.77vs Predicted
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5U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.85+4.33vs Predicted
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6Harvard University2.17-1.24vs Predicted
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7Roger Williams University0.49+3.87vs Predicted
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8Tufts University1.01+0.88vs Predicted
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9Roger Williams University1.97-3.39vs Predicted
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10Massachusetts Institute of Technology0.81-2.34vs Predicted
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11Dartmouth College1.71-5.04vs Predicted
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12U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.32-1.18vs Predicted
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13University of Vermont0.24-1.63vs Predicted
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14Boston College-0.06-1.95vs Predicted
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15University of Rhode Island-0.20-2.39vs Predicted
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16Massachusetts Institute of Technology0.75-5.66vs Predicted
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17Boston University-0.48-3.42vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.9Northeastern University1.225.3%1st Place
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6.86Brown University1.857.5%1st Place
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7.63Tufts University1.156.3%1st Place
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5.77Bowdoin College1.8411.9%1st Place
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9.33U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.853.5%1st Place
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4.76Harvard University2.1715.3%1st Place
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10.87Roger Williams University0.492.1%1st Place
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8.88Tufts University1.014.9%1st Place
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5.61Roger Williams University1.9712.5%1st Place
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7.66Massachusetts Institute of Technology0.816.9%1st Place
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5.96Dartmouth College1.7110.9%1st Place
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10.82U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.323.1%1st Place
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11.37University of Vermont0.242.3%1st Place
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12.05Boston College-0.062.1%1st Place
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12.61University of Rhode Island-0.201.1%1st Place
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10.34Massachusetts Institute of Technology0.753.4%1st Place
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13.58Boston University-0.480.8%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Eva Ermlich | 5.3% | 5.9% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 8.2% | 7.1% | 5.4% | 4.2% | 1.8% |
| Laura Hamilton | 7.5% | 8.6% | 8.4% | 8.4% | 8.6% | 7.6% | 7.9% | 7.4% | 7.9% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 1.8% | 0.5% | 0.3% |
| Ella Hubbard | 6.3% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 7.7% | 7.7% | 7.0% | 8.2% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 3.9% | 2.8% | 2.0% | 0.4% |
| Lauren Russler | 11.9% | 10.7% | 10.6% | 9.8% | 9.5% | 9.2% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 5.8% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 1.7% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.2% |
| Julia Conneely | 3.5% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 7.9% | 8.6% | 7.9% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 1.7% |
| Zoey Ziskind | 15.3% | 14.0% | 13.5% | 12.3% | 10.2% | 7.0% | 8.9% | 5.1% | 4.0% | 3.2% | 2.4% | 1.8% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Katherine McGagh | 2.1% | 2.9% | 3.8% | 3.3% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 9.2% | 10.1% | 8.9% | 9.7% | 6.4% |
| Sophia Hubbard | 4.9% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 7.4% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 3.5% | 1.4% |
| Lucy Meagher | 12.5% | 10.4% | 11.4% | 9.5% | 10.3% | 8.5% | 8.2% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 5.3% | 3.4% | 2.8% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Emma Wang | 6.9% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 8.1% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 5.1% | 4.0% | 3.1% | 2.2% | 0.4% |
| bella casaretto | 10.9% | 10.9% | 9.6% | 8.8% | 8.9% | 9.0% | 7.8% | 8.6% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 3.8% | 2.2% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Caroline Odell | 3.1% | 3.1% | 2.6% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 4.3% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 7.5% | 9.0% | 9.4% | 9.9% | 8.4% | 8.0% |
| Caitlin Derby | 2.3% | 1.8% | 3.1% | 4.1% | 3.1% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 4.6% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 8.5% | 7.4% | 8.3% | 11.3% | 12.3% | 9.1% |
| Kate Joslin | 2.1% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 2.6% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 7.6% | 9.8% | 12.1% | 13.2% | 15.2% |
| Emaline Ouellette | 1.1% | 2.1% | 1.6% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 3.9% | 3.5% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 8.8% | 12.2% | 15.3% | 18.4% |
| Brooke Barry | 3.4% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 8.0% | 8.3% | 9.3% | 8.3% | 7.6% | 5.9% |
| Sage Andrews | 0.8% | 1.0% | 1.3% | 1.5% | 1.9% | 2.4% | 2.4% | 2.8% | 2.6% | 3.6% | 3.2% | 5.1% | 6.9% | 8.1% | 10.9% | 15.0% | 30.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.