Race 7A

ny-maritime-fall-open

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

41.7%
Within 2 Positions
2.7
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
Everett Botwinick 27.0% 21.6% 15.8% 11.8% 10.1% 6.1% 4.5% 2.2% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
Jack Hammett 3.5% 4.3% 5.8% 6.0% 7.4% 9.7% 9.2% 10.4% 11.4% 13.7% 12.7% 6.0%
Joseph Bonacci 6.8% 7.5% 8.5% 8.8% 9.7% 10.4% 11.6% 11.6% 9.2% 8.8% 5.1% 2.1%
Berkley Yiu 4.9% 3.5% 5.1% 6.4% 5.5% 8.6% 9.4% 11.0% 10.8% 13.7% 12.8% 8.2%
Matias Martin 13.2% 14.5% 14.1% 14.4% 11.5% 9.7% 7.5% 7.1% 4.5% 2.2% 1.1% 0.1%
Nathaniel Hartwell 9.9% 10.2% 11.5% 11.1% 11.2% 11.4% 10.0% 8.3% 8.5% 5.2% 2.2% 0.6%
Oscar Gilroy 2.8% 2.8% 3.2% 4.3% 4.8% 5.4% 7.5% 8.1% 10.9% 15.1% 18.9% 16.3%
Noah Hemingway 7.4% 7.0% 8.0% 9.2% 10.3% 9.2% 10.2% 11.2% 10.7% 9.2% 5.8% 1.8%
Elizabeth Frost 8.6% 11.6% 10.5% 9.6% 11.2% 10.8% 10.5% 10.5% 8.8% 4.4% 2.8% 0.7%
James Owen 12.3% 13.0% 12.3% 12.8% 11.7% 10.8% 9.0% 7.8% 4.9% 3.5% 1.7% 0.4%
William Mullray 2.9% 2.2% 3.6% 4.0% 4.9% 4.5% 6.6% 7.5% 11.9% 14.5% 20.2% 17.2%
Tess Halpern 0.9% 1.8% 1.5% 1.8% 1.8% 3.5% 4.0% 4.3% 7.4% 9.4% 17.0% 46.6%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.