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📊 Prediction Accuracy
53.3%
Within 2 Positions
2.4
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Miami2.07+5.55vs Predicted
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2Georgetown University2.03+4.64vs Predicted
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3U. S. Naval Academy2.49+2.25vs Predicted
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4Georgetown University1.86+3.28vs Predicted
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5College of Charleston2.13+1.61vs Predicted
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6Jacksonville University2.33-0.23vs Predicted
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7College of Charleston2.21-0.84vs Predicted
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8Eckerd College1.84-0.57vs Predicted
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9University of Wisconsin2.24-3.01vs Predicted
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10Florida State University1.37-0.95vs Predicted
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11Northwestern University0.71-0.06vs Predicted
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12U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.86-4.42vs Predicted
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13University of Virginia-0.55+0.64vs Predicted
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14Clemson University0.05-1.55vs Predicted
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15North Carolina State University1.44-6.35vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.55University of Miami2.070.1%1st Place
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6.64Georgetown University2.030.1%1st Place
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5.25U. S. Naval Academy2.490.1%1st Place
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7.28Georgetown University1.860.1%1st Place
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6.61College of Charleston2.130.1%1st Place
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5.77Jacksonville University2.330.1%1st Place
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6.16College of Charleston2.210.1%1st Place
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7.43Eckerd College1.840.1%1st Place
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5.99University of Wisconsin2.240.1%1st Place
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9.05Florida State University1.370.0%1st Place
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10.94Northwestern University0.710.0%1st Place
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7.58U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.860.1%1st Place
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13.64University of Virginia-0.550.0%1st Place
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12.45Clemson University0.050.0%1st Place
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8.65North Carolina State University1.440.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Richard McCann | 9.4% | 8.2% | 8.8% | 8.2% | 8.3% | 8.5% | 7.1% | 8.5% | 8.2% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 2.0% | 0.4% |
| Gwynie Dunlevy | 7.1% | 9.8% | 8.8% | 8.9% | 7.2% | 9.1% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 9.2% | 7.6% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 4.0% | 2.0% | 0.0% |
| Gray Benson | 13.2% | 12.4% | 11.8% | 9.2% | 9.6% | 9.0% | 9.0% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 4.0% | 3.6% | 2.9% | 1.0% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Riley Kloc | 7.1% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 9.3% | 7.1% | 7.7% | 8.1% | 8.5% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 2.7% | 0.4% |
| William Curtiss | 7.7% | 9.9% | 9.2% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 10.6% | 8.9% | 7.6% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 4.1% | 1.3% | 0.2% |
| Andre Guaragna | 10.3% | 10.6% | 9.1% | 11.0% | 9.3% | 10.0% | 9.2% | 7.7% | 7.0% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 3.3% | 2.3% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| Liza Toppa | 10.8% | 8.0% | 8.7% | 10.3% | 9.4% | 8.7% | 8.3% | 8.9% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 4.4% | 2.2% | 1.6% | 0.3% |
| Sean Tallman | 6.8% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 7.7% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 8.5% | 9.8% | 8.0% | 6.9% | 2.6% | 0.4% |
| Samuel Bartel | 9.7% | 10.3% | 9.1% | 10.3% | 8.9% | 8.9% | 8.0% | 7.3% | 8.5% | 7.2% | 6.0% | 3.4% | 1.3% | 0.9% | 0.2% |
| Mitchell Powell | 4.0% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 4.6% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 9.9% | 10.5% | 11.3% | 11.7% | 7.9% | 2.9% |
| Mitchell Moore | 2.1% | 2.0% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 3.7% | 3.2% | 3.3% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 7.1% | 11.3% | 18.3% | 19.8% | 10.0% |
| Liam Ballantyne | 5.8% | 5.0% | 6.9% | 7.7% | 6.8% | 7.7% | 8.2% | 8.0% | 8.2% | 9.4% | 7.9% | 8.6% | 6.8% | 2.4% | 0.6% |
| Elizabeth Harrington | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 2.1% | 1.5% | 1.0% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 3.5% | 7.8% | 16.8% | 59.2% |
| Samuel Cabiness | 0.9% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 0.7% | 2.3% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 1.6% | 2.4% | 4.4% | 5.6% | 7.9% | 11.7% | 32.1% | 24.2% |
| Travis Tucker | 4.8% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 3.8% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 7.9% | 7.9% | 9.6% | 12.6% | 10.4% | 7.0% | 1.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.