Race 1A

icebreaker-fleet-race

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.2
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
Rachel Foster 18.1% 17.5% 15.8% 12.0% 13.0% 8.9% 6.8% 3.9% 2.0% 1.2% 0.6% 0.2%
Elena Gonick 4.0% 6.0% 6.4% 7.2% 8.7% 8.8% 10.0% 11.2% 12.1% 12.4% 9.2% 4.0%
Kelsey Shakin 20.3% 17.0% 15.6% 13.5% 11.6% 10.1% 5.0% 4.5% 1.0% 1.2% 0.2% 0.0%
Alexandra Talbot 5.6% 6.6% 8.5% 9.2% 11.0% 8.5% 12.1% 11.7% 10.1% 8.4% 5.9% 2.4%
Jennifer Killian 6.7% 8.5% 9.4% 9.9% 10.1% 10.2% 10.3% 11.2% 9.4% 7.4% 4.8% 2.1%
Talia Toland 20.2% 19.3% 17.0% 12.5% 9.9% 9.1% 6.0% 3.0% 1.7% 1.1% 0.2% 0.0%
Adam Gibbs 4.0% 3.3% 3.2% 5.2% 7.2% 6.0% 8.1% 9.7% 11.4% 15.1% 13.6% 13.2%
Morgan TerMaat 5.0% 5.6% 4.9% 6.5% 6.5% 8.7% 9.2% 10.0% 13.0% 12.6% 12.1% 5.9%
Joshua Stone 6.0% 5.8% 9.8% 9.7% 10.2% 10.8% 10.6% 10.0% 11.6% 8.4% 5.4% 1.7%
Adam Wolnikowski 2.8% 3.4% 3.2% 3.6% 3.1% 4.7% 7.6% 8.0% 9.6% 14.1% 20.1% 19.8%
Mitchell Owen 1.6% 1.4% 0.9% 1.5% 1.9% 3.4% 3.4% 4.6% 5.9% 8.7% 19.7% 47.0%
Elizabeth Rolfes 5.7% 5.6% 5.3% 9.2% 6.8% 10.8% 10.9% 12.2% 12.2% 9.4% 8.2% 3.7%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.