Race 2A

icebreaker-fleet-race

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

75.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.5
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
Rachel Foster 17.7% 15.8% 17.6% 13.0% 13.1% 8.2% 6.4% 4.3% 1.8% 1.4% 0.5% 0.2%
Talia Toland 19.8% 20.5% 14.9% 13.7% 10.7% 8.2% 5.6% 4.3% 1.4% 0.9% 0.0% 0.0%
Kelsey Shakin 20.2% 18.2% 15.6% 12.5% 11.5% 10.1% 5.3% 3.8% 1.7% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0%
Jennifer Killian 6.3% 7.5% 9.6% 10.4% 10.4% 10.8% 11.2% 10.5% 8.9% 7.7% 5.2% 1.5%
Alexandra Talbot 6.2% 7.7% 8.2% 10.0% 8.7% 10.5% 11.1% 10.4% 10.6% 8.3% 5.5% 2.8%
Joshua Stone 6.3% 7.5% 7.3% 7.6% 9.9% 10.5% 11.0% 11.2% 10.9% 8.0% 7.3% 2.5%
Morgan TerMaat 4.6% 5.0% 5.8% 6.2% 8.7% 7.5% 8.9% 11.6% 12.1% 11.5% 11.2% 6.9%
Elena Gonick 6.6% 4.9% 7.2% 7.6% 7.2% 9.0% 10.6% 10.4% 11.0% 11.3% 9.4% 4.8%
Adam Gibbs 2.8% 3.1% 3.4% 4.8% 6.3% 8.1% 8.7% 10.7% 13.3% 13.1% 15.5% 10.2%
Adam Wolnikowski 2.4% 2.9% 3.6% 3.6% 3.2% 5.4% 7.0% 6.7% 10.4% 15.1% 19.7% 20.0%
Mitchell Owen 1.6% 1.0% 1.3% 1.7% 2.0% 2.0% 3.9% 4.5% 6.1% 10.5% 18.1% 47.3%
Elizabeth Rolfes 5.5% 5.9% 5.5% 8.9% 8.3% 9.7% 10.3% 11.6% 11.8% 11.3% 7.4% 3.8%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.