Race 3A

icebreaker-fleet-race

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

58.3%
Within 2 Positions
1.9
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
Rachel Foster 17.8% 15.8% 17.7% 13.4% 12.6% 7.9% 6.8% 4.2% 1.9% 1.3% 0.6% 0.0%
Talia Toland 20.8% 19.1% 16.0% 13.4% 10.7% 7.9% 5.9% 3.8% 1.4% 1.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Kelsey Shakin 19.7% 18.3% 16.7% 12.6% 11.3% 9.1% 6.3% 3.5% 1.5% 0.5% 0.5% 0.0%
Jennifer Killian 5.8% 8.1% 9.2% 10.0% 10.1% 11.0% 12.6% 11.3% 8.3% 7.5% 4.5% 1.6%
Alexandra Talbot 6.6% 7.0% 8.4% 9.8% 9.3% 11.5% 10.3% 9.1% 10.8% 8.5% 6.4% 2.3%
Elena Gonick 5.0% 6.4% 6.3% 5.7% 7.7% 9.0% 10.3% 11.4% 12.3% 11.1% 10.5% 4.3%
Adam Wolnikowski 3.0% 2.7% 2.9% 2.4% 5.2% 5.7% 6.5% 7.8% 10.8% 14.2% 19.0% 19.8%
Adam Gibbs 3.7% 4.0% 3.5% 5.3% 5.8% 6.0% 7.7% 9.5% 10.5% 15.0% 17.5% 11.5%
Joshua Stone 5.6% 6.9% 7.9% 10.9% 9.9% 10.1% 10.5% 13.1% 9.8% 7.9% 5.5% 1.9%
Morgan TerMaat 5.0% 4.9% 5.1% 5.9% 6.7% 9.0% 8.5% 10.8% 13.0% 13.4% 11.1% 6.6%
Mitchell Owen 1.5% 1.2% 1.1% 1.4% 2.2% 2.8% 4.1% 4.4% 6.4% 8.7% 17.6% 48.6%
Elizabeth Rolfes 5.5% 5.6% 5.2% 9.2% 8.5% 10.0% 10.5% 11.1% 13.3% 10.9% 6.8% 3.4%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.