Race 4A

icebreaker-fleet-race

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

25.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.5
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
Talia Toland 18.6% 16.9% 19.9% 12.9% 12.0% 8.3% 5.0% 3.4% 2.1% 0.4% 0.5% 0.0%
Rachel Foster 17.7% 18.0% 15.0% 14.8% 10.6% 8.8% 7.8% 3.4% 2.1% 1.4% 0.3% 0.1%
Elizabeth Rolfes 5.7% 5.9% 6.1% 8.7% 8.6% 8.2% 11.8% 10.3% 13.7% 10.5% 7.0% 3.5%
Alexandra Talbot 5.5% 7.9% 8.3% 9.6% 9.9% 10.3% 12.1% 11.3% 9.3% 6.5% 6.9% 2.4%
Morgan TerMaat 4.0% 5.1% 5.1% 6.9% 7.8% 7.7% 9.8% 11.0% 11.8% 10.5% 12.7% 7.6%
Elena Gonick 4.9% 6.0% 6.3% 7.6% 5.8% 9.8% 11.4% 10.4% 11.0% 13.4% 9.5% 3.9%
Kelsey Shakin 20.2% 18.8% 15.3% 12.9% 11.4% 8.4% 5.7% 3.7% 1.9% 1.1% 0.4% 0.2%
Jennifer Killian 9.1% 7.5% 9.4% 9.2% 10.5% 11.2% 11.0% 10.3% 9.2% 6.8% 3.8% 2.0%
Mitchell Owen 1.3% 1.2% 1.1% 1.9% 2.8% 2.6% 3.3% 6.1% 7.2% 11.3% 16.4% 44.8%
Joshua Stone 7.1% 6.5% 9.1% 7.7% 9.8% 11.3% 9.3% 11.4% 11.0% 7.8% 6.8% 2.2%
Adam Wolnikowski 2.4% 2.4% 1.5% 4.1% 4.4% 5.3% 5.8% 8.6% 9.7% 15.3% 19.2% 21.3%
Adam Gibbs 3.5% 3.8% 2.9% 3.7% 6.4% 8.1% 7.0% 10.1% 11.0% 15.0% 16.5% 12.0%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.