Race 5A

icebreaker-fleet-race

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

58.3%
Within 2 Positions
1.9
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
Kelsey Shakin 18.4% 18.5% 15.9% 14.5% 11.8% 8.4% 5.4% 3.6% 1.9% 1.2% 0.4% 0.0%
Elena Gonick 4.7% 4.8% 6.7% 7.4% 9.0% 9.8% 9.9% 10.5% 12.2% 11.4% 8.6% 5.0%
Talia Toland 22.4% 16.5% 16.2% 12.4% 12.3% 8.9% 5.7% 3.2% 1.3% 0.8% 0.2% 0.1%
Rachel Foster 18.0% 19.8% 14.7% 14.3% 10.9% 8.4% 5.8% 4.1% 2.2% 1.2% 0.6% 0.0%
Jennifer Killian 7.1% 8.4% 9.5% 8.7% 10.8% 11.5% 10.7% 9.2% 8.9% 8.2% 5.0% 2.0%
Alexandra Talbot 6.9% 6.8% 7.9% 9.2% 8.1% 12.2% 11.4% 11.4% 10.1% 8.9% 4.4% 2.7%
Joshua Stone 6.7% 7.4% 8.1% 10.6% 8.9% 9.2% 10.5% 10.7% 10.4% 9.2% 6.0% 2.3%
Adam Wolnikowski 2.0% 3.6% 3.4% 4.3% 3.1% 5.8% 6.2% 8.9% 9.6% 12.0% 20.3% 20.8%
Mitchell Owen 1.2% 1.2% 1.5% 1.1% 2.9% 2.6% 4.4% 5.1% 8.3% 9.4% 16.8% 45.5%
Morgan TerMaat 5.0% 4.4% 4.6% 6.3% 9.2% 7.0% 10.7% 12.3% 10.6% 12.5% 11.0% 6.4%
Elizabeth Rolfes 4.9% 4.3% 7.6% 7.9% 8.2% 9.1% 10.5% 12.0% 12.1% 11.2% 8.1% 4.1%
Adam Gibbs 2.7% 4.3% 3.9% 3.3% 4.8% 7.1% 8.8% 9.0% 12.4% 14.0% 18.6% 11.1%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.