Race 6A

icebreaker-fleet-race

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

33.3%
Within 2 Positions
2.4
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
Talia Toland 19.7% 18.3% 14.9% 15.1% 10.7% 9.1% 5.9% 3.4% 1.8% 0.6% 0.5% 0.0%
Joshua Stone 4.8% 8.4% 8.0% 8.2% 9.3% 10.0% 10.8% 11.6% 10.3% 9.0% 6.6% 3.0%
Elizabeth Rolfes 6.1% 6.2% 5.9% 9.0% 7.8% 8.8% 10.8% 11.1% 11.1% 12.4% 7.0% 3.8%
Rachel Foster 17.2% 19.6% 15.7% 13.4% 10.5% 9.4% 5.9% 4.7% 1.7% 1.6% 0.3% 0.0%
Morgan TerMaat 3.5% 5.4% 4.9% 6.4% 7.9% 8.2% 9.4% 8.9% 14.0% 13.3% 10.5% 7.6%
Kelsey Shakin 20.8% 15.3% 16.6% 14.3% 11.8% 7.3% 6.5% 4.4% 1.8% 1.1% 0.1% 0.0%
Alexandra Talbot 7.8% 6.9% 8.7% 7.8% 11.3% 10.2% 10.6% 12.1% 8.8% 8.2% 5.1% 2.5%
Adam Wolnikowski 2.1% 3.6% 3.0% 4.2% 4.3% 5.4% 6.5% 7.0% 10.4% 12.5% 22.7% 18.3%
Jennifer Killian 6.8% 6.6% 12.5% 10.6% 9.2% 11.6% 11.2% 10.9% 9.0% 6.9% 3.2% 1.5%
Elena Gonick 5.9% 5.1% 5.7% 6.3% 9.0% 9.4% 10.9% 11.5% 11.6% 12.0% 8.0% 4.6%
Mitchell Owen 1.9% 1.1% 0.7% 1.4% 2.5% 2.9% 3.4% 5.0% 5.8% 10.3% 16.5% 48.5%
Adam Gibbs 3.4% 3.5% 3.4% 3.3% 5.7% 7.7% 8.1% 9.4% 13.7% 12.1% 19.5% 10.2%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.