Race 7A

icebreaker-fleet-race

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

33.3%
Within 2 Positions
2.9
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
Rachel Foster 18.3% 15.9% 16.7% 14.0% 12.0% 8.2% 7.2% 4.2% 2.2% 1.1% 0.2% 0.0%
Elena Gonick 4.2% 5.3% 7.0% 8.2% 6.5% 10.7% 10.5% 11.4% 11.0% 11.9% 8.5% 4.8%
Adam Wolnikowski 3.1% 2.5% 3.3% 2.9% 4.7% 5.0% 6.2% 6.0% 11.1% 13.6% 21.8% 19.8%
Elizabeth Rolfes 4.3% 6.3% 6.5% 8.8% 8.6% 10.0% 10.9% 12.0% 9.9% 10.8% 8.4% 3.5%
Kelsey Shakin 19.6% 21.2% 13.7% 12.3% 12.1% 7.9% 6.2% 3.5% 2.1% 0.8% 0.6% 0.0%
Talia Toland 19.5% 18.6% 18.4% 11.8% 12.7% 6.9% 6.4% 2.4% 2.1% 0.9% 0.3% 0.0%
Alexandra Talbot 7.7% 7.5% 7.7% 10.0% 10.3% 10.8% 9.8% 10.4% 9.4% 8.0% 6.0% 2.4%
Adam Gibbs 3.3% 4.9% 4.8% 3.7% 5.7% 7.1% 8.3% 8.5% 11.2% 14.4% 15.4% 12.7%
Mitchell Owen 1.2% 1.1% 1.4% 1.1% 2.6% 2.8% 4.2% 5.6% 8.7% 9.5% 16.9% 44.9%
Jennifer Killian 7.8% 7.3% 8.4% 10.6% 9.8% 12.5% 9.8% 12.8% 8.2% 6.1% 4.8% 1.9%
Morgan TerMaat 4.3% 3.6% 4.7% 7.5% 6.4% 8.0% 8.8% 11.4% 14.1% 13.2% 10.5% 7.5%
Joshua Stone 6.7% 5.8% 7.4% 9.1% 8.6% 10.1% 11.7% 11.8% 10.0% 9.7% 6.6% 2.5%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.