Race 8A

icebreaker-fleet-race

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

41.7%
Within 2 Positions
3.2
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
Alexandra Talbot 6.6% 7.0% 8.1% 7.7% 10.0% 10.8% 11.7% 12.1% 9.7% 8.6% 5.0% 2.7%
Elena Gonick 4.5% 5.4% 6.7% 8.5% 8.2% 8.3% 9.2% 12.0% 12.7% 12.2% 8.5% 3.8%
Rachel Foster 18.8% 16.8% 15.8% 13.6% 12.2% 8.1% 7.1% 4.5% 2.1% 0.8% 0.1% 0.1%
Jennifer Killian 5.7% 8.8% 9.7% 9.5% 10.6% 11.7% 10.7% 10.4% 7.9% 8.6% 4.6% 1.8%
Elizabeth Rolfes 4.5% 6.8% 7.6% 7.4% 8.9% 9.7% 10.0% 10.1% 11.5% 11.2% 7.8% 4.5%
Mitchell Owen 1.5% 1.2% 1.4% 2.0% 2.6% 3.6% 3.5% 4.9% 5.6% 9.2% 18.2% 46.3%
Kelsey Shakin 21.1% 18.8% 16.1% 13.6% 9.8% 8.1% 6.2% 3.0% 2.0% 0.9% 0.3% 0.1%
Talia Toland 21.6% 19.1% 15.1% 13.2% 10.4% 7.9% 5.8% 3.2% 2.1% 1.2% 0.3% 0.1%
Morgan TerMaat 3.6% 4.4% 4.9% 7.5% 8.6% 10.0% 9.8% 11.5% 12.1% 12.2% 9.9% 5.5%
Adam Gibbs 3.4% 3.9% 4.2% 4.5% 5.0% 6.8% 8.1% 10.3% 12.2% 14.0% 16.2% 11.4%
Adam Wolnikowski 2.4% 1.9% 2.2% 3.7% 4.4% 5.8% 5.9% 7.3% 11.2% 12.2% 21.8% 21.2%
Joshua Stone 6.3% 5.9% 8.2% 8.8% 9.3% 9.2% 12.0% 10.7% 10.9% 8.9% 7.3% 2.5%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.