Race 8A

ny-maritime-fall-open

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

41.7%
Within 2 Positions
2.4
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
James Owen 11.4% 11.7% 13.6% 12.2% 10.8% 11.5% 10.4% 8.1% 5.1% 3.1% 1.7% 0.4%
Everett Botwinick 27.6% 22.6% 16.1% 12.4% 8.6% 6.7% 3.3% 1.6% 0.8% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
Oscar Gilroy 2.9% 2.5% 3.4% 4.0% 4.5% 5.9% 7.0% 7.5% 10.5% 13.6% 16.7% 21.5%
Jack Hammett 3.5% 5.0% 5.9% 6.6% 6.0% 8.6% 9.0% 11.2% 11.8% 11.8% 12.4% 8.2%
Nathaniel Hartwell 10.4% 9.7% 10.8% 10.5% 11.7% 8.9% 11.2% 9.3% 7.5% 5.9% 3.0% 1.0%
Matias Martin 13.5% 14.4% 12.4% 12.3% 13.0% 10.4% 7.7% 7.3% 5.2% 2.6% 0.9% 0.2%
Joseph Bonacci 6.8% 7.3% 8.2% 9.1% 9.2% 10.2% 10.1% 10.4% 8.8% 9.8% 6.5% 3.6%
Berkley Yiu 4.0% 4.9% 5.2% 5.6% 7.2% 7.4% 9.4% 10.0% 11.2% 12.4% 13.1% 9.6%
Elizabeth Frost 9.3% 9.0% 10.2% 11.5% 11.2% 10.8% 10.5% 9.9% 8.1% 5.5% 2.9% 1.3%
Noah Hemingway 6.5% 7.4% 8.3% 8.2% 10.2% 9.8% 9.9% 10.8% 9.7% 9.6% 6.3% 3.3%
William Mullray 2.0% 2.9% 3.2% 4.7% 4.3% 5.7% 6.6% 7.8% 11.8% 14.0% 18.4% 18.8%
Rem Johannknecht 2.1% 2.7% 2.8% 2.9% 3.4% 4.2% 4.9% 6.0% 9.5% 11.5% 17.9% 32.1%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.