Race 1B

icebreaker-fleet-race

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

66.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.6
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
Abbie Carlson 15.1% 13.6% 12.6% 13.2% 14.3% 8.7% 10.0% 5.7% 4.1% 2.0% 0.4% 0.3%
Lera Anders 6.8% 10.2% 9.1% 9.5% 8.7% 11.8% 11.3% 12.0% 10.5% 6.7% 3.3% 0.1%
Blaire McCarthy 25.8% 20.0% 15.3% 13.4% 10.0% 7.7% 3.7% 2.9% 0.8% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0%
Evan Robison 7.6% 9.1% 10.6% 11.7% 10.7% 10.9% 12.3% 9.6% 8.8% 6.2% 2.3% 0.2%
Nicholas Salvesen 9.4% 10.9% 11.6% 9.7% 11.4% 12.0% 9.6% 9.2% 7.3% 6.3% 2.5% 0.1%
Carter Brock 8.9% 8.0% 8.5% 9.1% 11.1% 11.6% 11.0% 11.4% 10.5% 6.6% 3.1% 0.2%
Madeline Pope 10.0% 10.9% 10.8% 10.5% 10.7% 11.1% 10.4% 10.9% 8.0% 4.6% 1.9% 0.2%
Molly Hanrahan 5.7% 5.5% 4.9% 7.4% 7.1% 7.5% 10.6% 12.4% 14.0% 15.6% 8.3% 1.0%
Aidan Biondi 6.6% 6.8% 9.7% 10.1% 11.1% 11.0% 11.1% 10.6% 12.2% 8.1% 2.6% 0.1%
Jonathan Schwartz 1.9% 1.8% 3.1% 2.8% 2.0% 2.9% 4.3% 6.8% 9.1% 19.7% 36.8% 8.8%
Katherine Boback 0.6% 0.4% 0.3% 0.3% 0.6% 0.7% 0.4% 0.8% 1.9% 3.7% 8.1% 82.2%
Giles Ruck 1.6% 2.8% 3.5% 2.3% 2.3% 4.1% 5.3% 7.7% 12.8% 20.1% 30.7% 6.8%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.