Race 2B

icebreaker-fleet-race

← Back to Regatta

📊 Prediction Accuracy

50.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.8
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
Abbie Carlson 13.8% 13.5% 13.4% 13.9% 12.6% 10.2% 10.0% 5.7% 3.9% 2.3% 0.4% 0.3%
Madeline Pope 8.7% 10.7% 10.3% 10.2% 11.8% 11.9% 10.8% 10.4% 8.3% 4.7% 2.2% 0.0%
Nicholas Salvesen 11.2% 9.2% 10.6% 10.2% 10.3% 12.8% 10.6% 11.2% 7.3% 4.9% 1.5% 0.2%
Blaire McCarthy 24.0% 21.6% 17.7% 12.1% 9.7% 5.8% 5.3% 2.0% 1.4% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
Lera Anders 7.9% 8.3% 8.8% 9.1% 11.7% 10.5% 11.5% 10.9% 10.3% 7.6% 3.3% 0.1%
Aidan Biondi 7.5% 7.8% 7.8% 7.5% 10.6% 10.5% 11.6% 11.4% 12.0% 9.4% 3.7% 0.2%
Molly Hanrahan 5.1% 5.6% 6.2% 7.1% 6.3% 8.8% 9.0% 12.0% 14.7% 15.3% 8.7% 1.2%
Carter Brock 10.1% 8.4% 9.1% 10.1% 10.1% 11.0% 10.2% 10.7% 10.6% 6.0% 3.4% 0.3%
Evan Robison 7.8% 9.9% 10.5% 13.2% 11.3% 11.6% 10.5% 10.5% 8.1% 5.5% 1.1% 0.0%
Jonathan Schwartz 1.5% 2.5% 2.2% 3.2% 2.6% 2.8% 3.7% 7.1% 10.9% 18.3% 36.5% 8.7%
Katherine Boback 0.5% 0.3% 0.2% 0.7% 0.5% 0.4% 1.0% 0.3% 1.1% 4.6% 8.1% 82.3%
Giles Ruck 1.9% 2.2% 3.2% 2.7% 2.5% 3.7% 5.8% 7.8% 11.4% 21.1% 31.0% 6.7%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.