Race 3B

icebreaker-fleet-race

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

58.3%
Within 2 Positions
1.7
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
Abbie Carlson 14.7% 13.8% 13.0% 13.5% 12.2% 11.5% 7.2% 7.2% 4.0% 2.0% 0.6% 0.3%
Blaire McCarthy 23.9% 21.3% 16.8% 13.7% 8.1% 7.6% 5.0% 1.8% 1.6% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
Lera Anders 8.3% 7.5% 10.1% 9.5% 8.9% 10.5% 12.4% 10.8% 12.2% 6.8% 2.8% 0.2%
Madeline Pope 8.2% 10.5% 11.7% 10.5% 12.3% 10.7% 11.6% 9.3% 8.7% 4.9% 1.5% 0.1%
Evan Robison 8.7% 9.4% 10.2% 10.8% 12.3% 10.8% 11.6% 8.8% 7.3% 7.4% 2.6% 0.1%
Nicholas Salvesen 9.8% 10.9% 9.0% 10.7% 12.6% 12.3% 10.1% 10.4% 6.8% 5.4% 2.0% 0.0%
Carter Brock 9.5% 8.8% 8.8% 11.2% 10.1% 10.4% 12.0% 10.0% 10.3% 5.5% 3.2% 0.2%
Aidan Biondi 8.7% 7.2% 10.0% 8.6% 10.0% 10.4% 8.7% 13.2% 10.7% 8.0% 4.1% 0.4%
Jonathan Schwartz 1.3% 1.3% 1.9% 2.3% 2.7% 3.6% 4.6% 7.9% 10.0% 20.4% 35.2% 8.8%
Molly Hanrahan 4.9% 5.5% 5.7% 6.0% 7.9% 7.9% 10.5% 11.5% 15.1% 14.9% 9.2% 0.9%
Katherine Boback 0.5% 0.4% 0.3% 0.5% 0.4% 0.5% 0.5% 0.8% 2.3% 2.9% 8.7% 82.2%
Giles Ruck 1.5% 3.4% 2.5% 2.7% 2.5% 3.8% 5.8% 8.3% 11.0% 21.6% 30.1% 6.8%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.