Race 4B

icebreaker-fleet-race

← Back to Regatta

📊 Prediction Accuracy

41.7%
Within 2 Positions
2.3
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
Lera Anders 7.9% 7.5% 9.5% 9.6% 9.1% 11.5% 13.1% 10.6% 10.9% 6.4% 3.5% 0.4%
Abbie Carlson 14.3% 15.1% 13.6% 13.3% 12.2% 10.9% 7.2% 6.8% 4.4% 1.9% 0.3% 0.0%
Nicholas Salvesen 10.3% 9.0% 11.6% 11.3% 9.5% 10.9% 13.2% 10.3% 7.5% 4.7% 1.6% 0.1%
Blaire McCarthy 23.2% 23.2% 15.7% 13.1% 9.1% 7.2% 4.6% 1.8% 1.6% 0.3% 0.2% 0.0%
Carter Brock 8.0% 8.6% 9.3% 9.8% 11.0% 11.6% 9.6% 12.1% 9.4% 7.2% 3.3% 0.1%
Giles Ruck 2.0% 1.9% 2.3% 4.6% 4.1% 3.5% 4.5% 7.4% 10.5% 20.9% 31.9% 6.4%
Aidan Biondi 7.9% 9.3% 7.2% 9.0% 10.7% 9.7% 10.8% 11.4% 11.6% 8.2% 3.9% 0.3%
Evan Robison 10.8% 10.2% 9.3% 10.3% 10.2% 11.3% 10.9% 10.1% 8.4% 5.8% 2.5% 0.2%
Jonathan Schwartz 1.4% 1.4% 2.0% 2.1% 3.7% 3.5% 4.7% 6.6% 10.5% 21.8% 33.5% 8.8%
Molly Hanrahan 4.9% 4.7% 6.5% 6.6% 7.8% 8.8% 10.5% 11.6% 14.7% 14.3% 8.6% 1.0%
Katherine Boback 0.5% 0.1% 0.4% 0.8% 0.5% 0.4% 0.5% 0.6% 1.8% 2.8% 9.0% 82.6%
Madeline Pope 8.8% 9.0% 12.6% 9.5% 12.1% 10.7% 10.4% 10.7% 8.7% 5.7% 1.7% 0.1%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.