Race 5B

icebreaker-fleet-race

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

41.7%
Within 2 Positions
2.5
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
Lera Anders 7.2% 8.6% 8.0% 8.5% 12.4% 10.4% 11.0% 12.8% 10.0% 7.8% 2.8% 0.5%
Evan Robison 8.2% 10.5% 10.2% 11.1% 11.2% 11.4% 10.8% 10.1% 8.6% 5.9% 2.0% 0.0%
Aidan Biondi 8.3% 6.3% 8.3% 10.2% 9.0% 9.8% 11.0% 11.2% 13.1% 8.8% 3.9% 0.1%
Abbie Carlson 14.2% 14.5% 14.2% 14.0% 12.6% 8.9% 8.1% 6.7% 4.0% 2.5% 0.3% 0.0%
Nicholas Salvesen 8.9% 11.1% 11.5% 10.9% 10.3% 11.8% 12.3% 7.2% 8.2% 5.1% 2.6% 0.1%
Blaire McCarthy 24.4% 21.1% 16.7% 12.9% 9.3% 7.3% 4.7% 2.3% 0.8% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
Giles Ruck 2.2% 2.9% 2.7% 3.3% 3.1% 5.1% 6.0% 8.7% 9.3% 20.5% 29.4% 6.8%
Carter Brock 9.9% 8.6% 10.4% 9.0% 10.8% 11.1% 9.3% 10.6% 10.1% 7.5% 2.4% 0.3%
Jonathan Schwartz 1.1% 1.7% 1.6% 2.9% 2.2% 3.1% 5.5% 7.9% 9.9% 19.1% 35.8% 9.2%
Molly Hanrahan 5.5% 4.8% 6.1% 6.5% 5.9% 10.6% 8.8% 11.8% 15.7% 13.7% 9.5% 1.1%
Katherine Boback 0.6% 0.1% 0.8% 0.2% 0.4% 0.5% 0.6% 0.6% 1.5% 3.8% 9.1% 81.8%
Madeline Pope 9.5% 9.8% 9.5% 10.5% 12.8% 10.0% 11.9% 10.1% 8.8% 4.9% 2.1% 0.1%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.