Race 6B

icebreaker-fleet-race

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

41.7%
Within 2 Positions
2.4
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
Nicholas Salvesen 9.5% 10.5% 9.0% 11.2% 11.4% 12.0% 10.9% 10.2% 9.4% 4.1% 1.6% 0.2%
Lera Anders 7.3% 8.0% 9.4% 9.7% 10.5% 11.5% 10.1% 11.2% 10.6% 8.2% 3.3% 0.2%
Evan Robison 10.0% 8.7% 8.7% 11.6% 10.5% 9.8% 11.7% 10.9% 10.2% 5.8% 1.9% 0.2%
Blaire McCarthy 25.0% 20.8% 17.1% 12.1% 10.1% 5.6% 5.0% 2.3% 1.6% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
Abbie Carlson 15.0% 15.2% 14.7% 11.9% 10.9% 11.5% 7.1% 5.8% 4.8% 2.1% 0.9% 0.1%
Aidan Biondi 7.1% 8.0% 7.8% 8.9% 8.3% 11.1% 11.9% 12.0% 10.9% 9.3% 4.3% 0.4%
Jonathan Schwartz 2.0% 2.3% 2.1% 2.3% 2.9% 4.3% 5.1% 6.2% 8.4% 18.7% 36.3% 9.4%
Giles Ruck 2.2% 2.7% 2.8% 3.4% 4.0% 4.4% 5.8% 7.4% 9.4% 22.0% 29.6% 6.3%
Carter Brock 6.8% 8.1% 12.3% 11.7% 11.0% 10.5% 12.0% 10.8% 8.2% 5.6% 2.9% 0.1%
Molly Hanrahan 4.8% 5.1% 5.9% 6.6% 7.1% 8.5% 9.5% 11.5% 16.4% 14.6% 8.8% 1.2%
Katherine Boback 0.7% 0.2% 0.3% 0.5% 0.5% 0.5% 0.5% 0.6% 1.1% 5.0% 8.4% 81.7%
Madeline Pope 9.6% 10.4% 9.9% 10.1% 12.8% 10.3% 10.4% 11.1% 9.0% 4.3% 1.9% 0.2%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.