Race 8B

icebreaker-fleet-race

← Back to Regatta

📊 Prediction Accuracy

25.0%
Within 2 Positions
4.6
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
Katherine Boback 0.1% 0.1% 0.2% 0.7% 0.4% 0.7% 0.8% 0.8% 1.9% 3.9% 10.6% 79.8%
Jonathan Schwartz 1.4% 1.6% 2.0% 2.5% 2.3% 3.9% 5.0% 4.5% 12.6% 18.5% 35.2% 10.5%
Giles Ruck 2.7% 2.3% 3.1% 2.6% 3.8% 4.2% 5.3% 6.8% 12.2% 22.0% 27.6% 7.4%
Carter Brock 7.5% 7.9% 10.4% 11.2% 9.8% 10.5% 11.7% 10.9% 9.9% 6.3% 3.8% 0.1%
Molly Hanrahan 3.9% 5.4% 5.7% 7.7% 7.2% 9.1% 8.3% 13.2% 15.0% 14.2% 9.0% 1.3%
Nicholas Salvesen 10.1% 10.7% 8.8% 10.1% 11.4% 13.8% 9.5% 10.4% 8.0% 5.4% 1.8% 0.0%
Aidan Biondi 8.1% 7.3% 9.3% 8.3% 11.3% 8.7% 11.9% 11.2% 10.4% 8.7% 4.5% 0.3%
Evan Robison 9.7% 10.2% 9.8% 11.1% 9.7% 10.5% 10.6% 11.0% 8.6% 5.8% 2.7% 0.3%
Madeline Pope 9.7% 10.3% 10.8% 11.2% 14.2% 10.2% 10.7% 9.5% 6.9% 5.0% 1.4% 0.1%
Lera Anders 8.6% 8.2% 9.6% 9.7% 8.8% 10.2% 12.8% 12.5% 8.4% 8.1% 2.9% 0.2%
Abbie Carlson 13.7% 15.3% 13.1% 13.3% 9.8% 11.2% 9.6% 6.7% 4.9% 1.9% 0.5% 0.0%
Blaire McCarthy 24.5% 20.7% 17.2% 11.6% 11.3% 7.0% 3.8% 2.5% 1.2% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.