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📊 Prediction Accuracy
27.8%
Within 2 Positions
3.7
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.72+7.19vs Predicted
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2Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.63+6.56vs Predicted
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3Yale University3.33+2.89vs Predicted
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4Brown University3.02+2.75vs Predicted
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5College of Charleston3.37+0.59vs Predicted
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6Georgetown University2.46+3.01vs Predicted
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7Connecticut College1.76+4.78vs Predicted
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8Cornell University2.50+0.80vs Predicted
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9Stanford University2.62-0.72vs Predicted
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10Eckerd College0.85+4.81vs Predicted
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11U. S. Naval Academy2.80-3.20vs Predicted
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12Old Dominion University2.14-1.31vs Predicted
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13St. Mary's College of Maryland2.31-3.54vs Predicted
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14Fordham University2.04-3.54vs Predicted
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15Harvard University2.69-6.91vs Predicted
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16SUNY Maritime College0.49-0.41vs Predicted
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17University of Wisconsin1.26-3.38vs Predicted
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18George Washington University2.76-10.38vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.19Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.720.1%1st Place
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8.56Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.630.0%1st Place
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5.89Yale University3.330.1%1st Place
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6.75Brown University3.020.1%1st Place
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5.59College of Charleston3.370.1%1st Place
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9.01Georgetown University2.460.1%1st Place
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11.78Connecticut College1.760.0%1st Place
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8.8Cornell University2.500.1%1st Place
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8.28Stanford University2.620.1%1st Place
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14.81Eckerd College0.850.0%1st Place
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7.8U. S. Naval Academy2.800.1%1st Place
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10.69Old Dominion University2.140.0%1st Place
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9.46St. Mary's College of Maryland2.310.1%1st Place
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10.46Fordham University2.040.0%1st Place
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8.09Harvard University2.690.1%1st Place
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15.59SUNY Maritime College0.490.0%1st Place
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13.62University of Wisconsin1.260.0%1st Place
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7.62George Washington University2.760.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Annie Hughes | 6.1% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 4.2% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 0.7% | 0.7% |
| Bailey Carter | 4.6% | 4.7% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 9.3% | 6.7% | 8.0% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 4.9% | 2.8% | 1.7% | 0.2% |
| Louisa Nordstrom | 11.6% | 10.3% | 10.4% | 9.9% | 9.4% | 8.5% | 6.6% | 7.7% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 4.6% | 3.9% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Sophie Hibben | 9.4% | 9.9% | 9.7% | 7.7% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 8.4% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 3.6% | 3.0% | 2.5% | 1.6% | 0.3% | 0.2% |
| Alie Toppa | 12.5% | 14.4% | 10.5% | 10.0% | 8.2% | 8.3% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 2.9% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Haddon Hughes | 5.0% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 5.8% | 8.2% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 4.5% | 2.9% | 0.8% |
| Julia Leighton | 2.9% | 2.2% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 3.8% | 5.0% | 4.0% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 7.3% | 9.2% | 10.0% | 12.4% | 10.4% | 5.3% |
| Daisy Holthus | 5.5% | 4.8% | 7.5% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 7.9% | 7.3% | 5.7% | 7.2% | 3.5% | 2.2% | 0.4% |
| Stephanie Houck | 5.5% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 6.1% | 7.9% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 3.7% | 4.8% | 3.1% | 1.6% | 0.2% |
| Ainsley Parramore | 1.2% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 1.4% | 1.0% | 1.3% | 1.5% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 7.3% | 11.6% | 24.2% | 27.0% |
| Olivia de Olazarra | 7.4% | 8.2% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 5.1% | 7.1% | 7.7% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 4.7% | 3.3% | 3.1% | 0.5% | 0.2% |
| Olivia Windemuller | 3.0% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 9.5% | 10.2% | 8.7% | 6.0% | 2.3% |
| Ellie Ungar | 5.1% | 4.1% | 3.8% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 4.8% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 7.7% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 4.0% | 0.9% |
| Grace Howie | 3.4% | 4.0% | 3.0% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 7.3% | 5.5% | 7.6% | 8.6% | 7.5% | 9.1% | 6.8% | 2.5% |
| Emma Kaneti | 7.4% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 5.4% | 3.8% | 2.9% | 1.3% | 0.2% |
| Clara Guarascio | 0.9% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 1.0% | 1.6% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 1.5% | 1.0% | 2.1% | 2.8% | 3.3% | 4.6% | 5.6% | 10.5% | 17.2% | 44.0% |
| Erin Sullivan | 1.6% | 1.6% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 2.9% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 3.5% | 2.4% | 4.1% | 4.6% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 11.0% | 13.6% | 18.7% | 14.8% |
| Riley Legault | 6.9% | 7.7% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 8.5% | 7.9% | 6.4% | 7.4% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 2.8% | 2.3% | 1.2% | 0.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.